7 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo Eliteserien prediction & result

Jotun Arena, Sandefjord
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Sandefjord 0-1 KFUM Oslo.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Sandefjord, 23% draw, 34% KFUM Oslo — fair odds of 2.33, 4.35 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sandefjord at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sandefjord0%Draw4%KFUM Oslo96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

24'
Brage Skaret
Jakob Vester
30'
34'
🔁Robin Raschout: Martin Tangen Vinjor
34'
🔁Fredrik Tobias Berglieout: Momodou Lion Njie
45+3'
⚽Hakon Helland Hosethassist: Magnus Wolff Eikrem
59'
Daniel Schneider
62'
🔁Magnus Wolff Eikremout: Bjorn Martin Kristensen
62'
🔁Tore Andre Sorasout: Eirik Franke Saunes
🔁Bendik Berntsenout: Foster Apetorgbor
69'
🔁Sebastian Holm Mathisenout: Jakob Maslo Dunsby
69'
Vetle Walle Egeli
74'
75'
Momodou Lion Njie
Evangelos Patoulidis
80'
🔁Evangelos Patoulidisout: Mathias Sauer
81'
🔁Fredrik Carson Pedersenout: Hakon Krogelien
89'
🔁Vetle Walle Egeliout: Martin Hellan
89'
89'
🔁Hakon Helland Hosethout: Sander Hansen Sjøkvist

Match stats — Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo

50%Possession50%
15Shots16
4On target6
5Corners6
0.93xG1.74

Goals against chances

Sandefjord0 from 0.93 xGless than the chances were worth
KFUM Oslo1 from 1.74 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sandefjord 4-1-4-1
  • 30E. HadayaG
  • 4F. PedersenD
  • 13R. HoltenD
  • 44X. LambrixD
  • 3V. EgeliD
  • 6S. MorkM
  • 7E. PatoulidisM
  • 14E. PettersenM
  • 37J. VesterM
  • 19B. BerntsenM
  • 24S. MathisenF
Substitutes
  • 1A. GronnebergG
  • 27J. DunsbyF
  • 18M. SauerM
  • 2M. HellanD
  • 32D. SkaarudF
  • 21J. Swift
  • 16H. KrogelienD
  • 17F. ApetorgborF
  • 31H. B. SkrettebergD
Coach: Andreas Tegstrom
KFUM Oslo 3-4-3
  • 25H. JenssenG
  • 13B. SkaretD
  • 5F. BerglieD
  • 2D. SchneiderD
  • 14H. HosethM
  • 27T. SorasM
  • 7R. RaschM
  • 16J. HjorthM
  • 18R. E. VingeF
  • 23M. EikremF
  • 10B. NjieF
Substitutes
  • 31D. W. MinkG
  • 9M. VinjorM
  • 22B. KristensenF
  • 11M. NjieF
  • 19E. SaunesD
  • 21S. SjokvistD
  • 42D. HicksonF
  • 4M. NjieD
  • 29I. SkovsgaardF
Coach: Thomas Holm

Form going into Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo

Sandefjord

  • L0-1away to Fredrikstad1 August 2026
  • L0-3Bodo/Glimt26 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Viking18 July 2026

KFUM Oslo

  • W2-1Kristiansund BK2 August 2026
  • L2-4Molde26 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Lillestrom18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Sandefjord2055101827-920
12KFUM Oslo2064102234-1222

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo

  • 7 August 2026Sandefjord 0–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien
  • 7 April 2026KFUM Oslo 1–2 SandefjordEliteserien
  • 30 November 2025Sandefjord 2–0 KFUM OsloEliteserien
  • 30 March 2025KFUM Oslo 3–1 SandefjordEliteserien
  • 15 March 2025Sandefjord 1–0 KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs
  • 27 October 2024Sandefjord 2–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.