7 August 2026, 22:30 UTC

Rosario Central vs Aldosivi Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Rosario Central 2-1 Aldosivi.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Rosario Central, 25% draw, 29% Aldosivi — fair odds of 2.17, 4.00 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Rosario Central at 46% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

46'
🔁Leonardo Sigaliout: Joaquin Pombo
52'
⚽Alan Sosa
🔁Julián Fernándezout: Jaminton Campaz
56'
⚽Nicolás Zalazar (OG)
61'
61'
🔁Andrés Vombergarout: Nicolás Cordero
67'
🔁Lucas Castroout: Francisco Perruzzi
67'
🔁Martin Garciaout: Rodrigo González
🔁Vicente Pizarroout: Tomás Badaloni
71'
🔁Giovanni Cantizanoout: Federico Navarro
71'
⚽Jaminton Campaz
80'
83'
🔁Matías Godoyout: Nicolás Gaitán
🔁Ángel Di Maríaout: Pol Fernández
85'
🔁Enzo Copettiout: Marcelo Cabrera
85'
90+2'
Rodrigo González

Match stats — Rosario Central vs Aldosivi

72%Possession28%
24Shots9
4On target5
10Corners3
2.32xG0.74

Goals against chances

Rosario Central2 from 2.32 xGabout what the chances were worth
Aldosivi1 from 0.74 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Rosario Central
  • 23Jeremías LedesmaG
  • 42Elías VerónD
  • 46Ignacio OvandoD
  • 13Gastón ÁvilaD
  • 33Alexis SotoD
  • 5Franco IbarraM
  • 20Vicente PizarroM
  • 26Giovanni CantizanoM
  • 11Ángel Di MaríaM
  • 18Julián FernándezM
  • 22Enzo CopettiF
Substitutes
  • 8Jaminton CampazM
  • 31Federico NavarroM
  • 16Tomás BadaloniF
  • 28Pol FernándezM
  • 7Marcelo CabreraF
  • 1Axel WernerG
  • 3Agustín SándezD
  • 36Alvaro GuichD
  • 15Facundo MalloD
Coach: Jorge Almiron
Aldosivi
  • 42Lucas AcostaG
  • 25Néstor BreitenbruchD
  • 2Leonardo SigaliD
  • 33Nicolás ZalazarD
  • 13Braian CufréD
  • 8Martin GarciaM
  • 22Alan SosaM
  • 19Lucas CastroM
  • 21Matías GodoyM
  • 29Andrés VombergarF
  • 27Tomás FernándezF
Substitutes
  • 32Joaquin PomboD
  • 9Nicolás CorderoF
  • 4Rodrigo GonzálezD
  • 15Francisco PerruzziM
  • 10Nicolás GaitánM
  • 23Ignacio ChiccoG
  • 17Federico LaurelliD
  • 14Elías LópezD
  • 5Nicolás LinaresM
Coach: Israel Damonte

Form going into Rosario Central vs Aldosivi

Rosario Central

  • W1-0away to River Plate2 August 2026
  • D0-0Racing Club29 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Belgrano Cordoba23 July 2026

Aldosivi

  • L1-2Gimnasia La Plata2 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Barracas Central29 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Defensa Y Justicia24 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Rosario Central vs Aldosivi

  • 7 August 2026Rosario Central 2–1 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 7 February 2026Aldosivi 1–1 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 4 July 2022Aldosivi 2–1 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 15 April 2022Aldosivi 1–0 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 2 August 2021Rosario Central 1–2 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 16 April 2021Aldosivi 0–1 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina

Leading scorers: Rosario Central and Aldosivi

Rosario Central

  • Á. Di María8 goals4 assists

Aldosivi

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.