22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

SC Braga vs Gent UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Braga
Referee: Andris Treimanis, Latvia
Full time2 – 0

Final score: SC Braga 2-0 Gent.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% SC Braga, 28% draw, 28% Gent — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SC Braga at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SC Braga99%Draw1%Gent0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Tiago Sá
-5'
⚽V. Gomezassist: Gorby
3'
Adrian Leon Barišić
27'
32'
Maksim Paskotsi
41'
🔁M. Balikwishaout: L. Benes
🔁J. Milosevicout: M. Dorgeles
61'
63'
🔁M. Delorgeout: L. Lopes
63'
🔁H. Gooreout: E. H. Seck
🔁Gabriel Silvaout: G. Martinez
71'
🔁Gorbyout: D. E. Tiknaz
71'
⚽G. Martinezassist: V. Gomez
76'
•Gabriel Martínez
77'
82'
🔁M. Sonkoout: G. De Meyer
82'
🔁M. Paskotsiout: K. Wilson
🔁A. Barisicout: Sergio Barcia
89'
🔁R. Hortaout: D. Huseinbasic
89'

Match stats — SC Braga vs Gent

52%Possession48%
22Shots10
10On target1
6Corners3
2.11xG0.46

Goals against chances

SC Braga2 from 2.11 xGabout what the chances were worth
Gent0 from 0.46 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

SC Braga 4-4-2
  • 31BernardoG
  • 2V. GomezD
  • 14G. LagerbielkeD
  • 37A. BarisicD
  • 26B. Arrey-MbiD
  • 10P. VictorM
  • 8J. MoutinhoM
  • 29GorbyM
  • 11Gabriel SilvaM
  • 21R. HortaF
  • 17J. MilosevicF
Substitutes
  • 12T. SaG
  • 44A. BajramiD
  • 22Sergio BarciaD
  • 7TravassosD
  • 6Vitor CarvalhoM
  • 23D. HuseinbasicM
  • 50D. RodriguesM
  • 20M. DorgelesM
  • 77G. MartinezF
Coach: Carlos Vicens
Gent 4-2-3-1
  • 33D. RoefG
  • 3M. PaskotsiD
  • 16C. BurgessD
  • 44S. Van Der HeydenD
  • 20T. AraujoD
  • 17M. DelorgeM
  • 27T. De VliegerM
  • 45H. GooreM
  • 7M. BalikwishaM
  • 11M. SonkoM
  • 75I. CisseF
Substitutes
  • 30K. PeersmanG
  • 56M. DialloD
  • 35G. De MeyerD
  • 39A. AyindeD
  • 57M. VolckaertD
  • 10A. OmgbaM
  • 8L. BenesM
  • 22L. LopesM
  • 37A. KadriM
Coach: Rik De Mil

Form going into SC Braga vs Gent

SC Braga

UEFA Europa Conference League

  • L0-3away to FC Copenhagen15 October 2026

Gent

UEFA Europa Conference League

  • W1-0Aarhus15 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17SC Braga311123-14
18Gent311112-14

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SC Braga vs Gent

  • 24 November 2016Gent 2–2 SC BragaUEFA Europa League
  • 15 September 2016SC Braga 1–1 GentUEFA Europa League

The result against the call

SC Braga beat Gent 2–0. The model had made a win for SC Braga its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: V. Gomez 3' for SC Braga, G. Martinez 76' for SC Braga. On expected goals it finished 2.11–0.46.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.