FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FC Iberia 1999 1-1 Mjallby AIF.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% FC Iberia 1999, 28% draw, 26% Mjallby AIF — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
FC Iberia 1999 at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31Giorgi MakaridzeG
- 40Giorgi KobuladzeD
- 25Aleksandre AmisulashviliD
- 4Vahid SelimovićD
- 5Jemali Giorgi JinjolavaD
- 18Lucas CafeM
- 6Nikoloz DadianiM
- 8Bakar KardavaM
- 10Zviad NatchkebiaM
- 19Nika SikharulashviliF
- 9Amiran DzaganiaF
- 33Jean-Marc TiboueD
- 27Giorgi KutsiaM
- 11Andria BartishviliM
- 14Abdullahi Ibrahim AlhassanM
- 1Tornike MegrelishviliG
- 16Revaz KurtanidzeG
- 3Phillip ČančarD
- 30Nikoloz BochorishviliD
- 23Eldar KuliievM
- 35Alexander LundinG
- 14Villiam GranathD
- 33Tony MiettinenD
- 4Axel NorénD
- 5Abdullah IqbalD
- 26Ian HoffmannD
- 29Olle LindbergM
- 22Jesper GustavssonM
- 7Viktor GustafsonM
- 23Áki SamuelsenM
- 18Jacob BergströmF
- 25Max NielsenD
- 6Mads EnggårdM
- 24Tom PetterssonD
- 27Ludvig TidstrandM
- 1Sebastian HansenG
- 13Robin WallinderG
- 2Ludvig SvanbergD
- 3Martin AgnarssonD
- 39Romeo LeanderssonM
Form going into FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF
FC Iberia 1999
UEFA Europa Conference League
- L0-2away to St. Truiden15 October 2026
Mjallby AIF
UEFA Europa Conference League
- W2-0Inter Club d'Escaldes15 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 9 | Mjallby AIF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
FC Iberia 1999 and Mjallby AIF drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Iberia 1999 at 46% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: J. Jinjolava (penalty) 55' for FC Iberia 1999, T. Pettersson 89' for Mjallby AIF. On expected goals it finished 0.99–2.20.
How the call on FC Iberia 1999 v Mjallby AIF has moved
First published on 8 Oct at 44% / 28% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 46% / 28% / 26%: the biggest move is FC Iberia 1999's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- FC Iberia 1999 win46%▲ +2
- Draw28%=
- Mjallby AIF win26%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.