Tractor Sazi vs Sanat Naft Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Tractor Sazi 3-0 Sanat Naft.
Before kick-off the model made it 69% Tractor Sazi, 20% draw, 11% Sanat Naft — fair odds of 1.45, 5.00 and 9.09.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Persian Gulf Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Tractor Sazi at 69%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Tractor Sazi vs Sanat Naft
Tractor Sazi
Persian Gulf Pro League
- D1-1Esteghlal FC8 October 2026
- L0-1away to Esteghlal Khuzestan10 September 2026
- W1-0Gol Gohar5 September 2026
Sanat Naft
Persian Gulf Pro League
- W2-1Aluminium Arak17 October 2026
- L1-3away to Persepolis FC9 October 2026
- L1-2Chadormalu SC12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tractor Sazi | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 23 |
| 16 | Sanat Naft | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tractor Sazi vs Sanat Naft
- 1 June 2024Sanat Naft 0–3 Tractor SaziPersian Gulf Pro League
- 30 December 2023Tractor Sazi 3–0 Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League
- 28 February 2023Sanat Naft 1–3 Tractor SaziPersian Gulf Pro League
- 10 September 2022Tractor Sazi 1–0 Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League
- 12 February 2022Sanat Naft 1–0 Tractor SaziPersian Gulf Pro League
- 25 October 2021Tractor Sazi 3–0 Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League
The result against the call
Tractor Sazi beat Sanat Naft 3–0. The model had made a win for Tractor Sazi its most likely outcome, at 69%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: A. Hosseinzadeh 74' for Tractor Sazi, S. Moghanlou (penalty) 84' for Tractor Sazi, M. Kazemayn 90+4' for Tractor Sazi.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Tractor Sazi a 54.2% chance to finish in the top two: 61.1% after a win, 33.1% after a draw, 19.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 61.1%, 6.9 points higher than before the match.
For Sanat Naft the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 79.3% going in: 42.2% after a win, 68.6% after a draw, 85.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 85.1%, 5.8 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Tractor Sazi v Sanat Naft has moved
First published on 7 Oct at 63% / 24% / 13% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 69% / 20% / 11%: the biggest move is Tractor Sazi's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Tractor Sazi win69%▲ +6
- Draw20%▼ −4
- Sanat Naft win11%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.