8 November 2026, 16:30 UTC

SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin Bundesliga prediction & result

Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Full time2 – 0

Final score: SC Freiburg 2-0 Union Berlin.

Before kick-off the model made it 64% SC Freiburg, 21% draw, 15% Union Berlin — fair odds of 1.56, 4.76 and 6.67.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SC Freiburg at 64%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Igor Matanović
2'
19'
Zeno Van Den Bosch
Yannick Engelhardt
27'
45'
🔁Kastriot Imeriout: Woo-Yeong Jeong
45'
🔁Tim Skarkeout: Oliver Burke
⚽Rani Khedira (OG)
55'
⚽Yuito Suzukiassist: Derry Lionel Scherhant
67'
🔁Igor Matanovićout: Keisuke Goto
68'
68'
🔁Livan Burcuout: Andrej Ilić
🔁Derry Lionel Scherhantout: Vincenzo Grifo
68'
🔁Yannick Engelhardtout: Patrick Osterhage
75'
77'
🔁Michel Aebischerout: Linus Güther
⚽Vincenzo Grifo (pen)
84'
🔁Philipp Treuout: Lukas Kübler
85'
🔁Yuito Suzukiout: Lucas Höler
85'
85'
🔁Derrick Köhnout: Tom Rothe
89'
Woo-Yeong Jeong

Match stats — SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin

59%Possession41%
20Shots4
9On target0
5Corners1
2.32xG0.37

Goals against chances

SC Freiburg2 from 2.32 xGabout what the chances were worth
Union Berlin0 from 0.37 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. BackhausG
  • 29P. TreuD
  • 28M. GinterD
  • 3P. LienhartD
  • 33J. MakengoD
  • 8M. EggesteinM
  • 16Y. EngelhardtM
  • 19J. BesteM
  • 14Y. SuzukiM
  • 7D. ScherhantM
  • 31I. MatanovićF
Substitutes
  • 42K. GotoF
  • 32V. GrifoM
  • 30C. GünterD
  • 9L. HölerF
  • 22Cyriaque Kalou IriéF
  • 17L. KüblerD
  • 21F. MüllerG
  • 6P. OsterhageM
  • 37M. RosenfelderD
Coach: J. Schuster
Union Berlin 5-3-2
  • 1F. RønnowG
  • 19J. HabererD
  • 4Z. Van Den BoschD
  • 5M. FriedrichD
  • 8R. KhediraD
  • 17D. KöhnD
  • 30K. ImeriM
  • 13A. SchäferM
  • 20M. AebischerM
  • 21T. SkarkeF
  • 9Livan BurcuF
Substitutes
  • 23A. IlićF
  • 11Jeong Woo-YeongM
  • 29E. Latte LathF
  • 14L. QuerfeldD
  • 31M. RaabG
  • 15T. RotheD
  • 28C. TrimmelD
  • 7O. BurkeF
  • 49Linus GutherF
Coach: M. Lustrinelli

Form going into SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin

SC Freiburg

Bundesliga

  • W2-1away to FC Augsburg31 October 2026
  • L1-3Bayern München25 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Bayer Leverkusen18 October 2026
  • W2-1FC Schalke 0411 October 2026

Union Berlin

Bundesliga

  • D1-11. FC Köln1 November 2026
  • D1-1away to FC Augsburg24 October 2026
  • D0-0Borussia Dortmund17 October 2026
  • W1-0SV Elversberg10 October 2026

What these results say

  • SC Freiburg scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • SC Freiburg conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for SC Freiburg had three goals or more.
  • Union Berlin went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Union Berlin had two goals or fewer.
  • Union Berlin failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3SC Freiburg96122010+1019
16Union Berlin9144721-147

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin

  • 15 March 2026SC Freiburg 0–1 Union BerlinBundesliga
  • 1 November 2025Union Berlin 0–0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
  • 30 March 2025SC Freiburg 1–2 Union BerlinBundesliga
  • 8 November 2024Union Berlin 0–0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
  • 18 May 2024Union Berlin 2–1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
  • 13 January 2024SC Freiburg 0–0 Union BerlinBundesliga

The full SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin record →

Leading scorers: SC Freiburg and Union Berlin

SC Freiburg

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Suzuki50
  • I. Matanović41

Union Berlin

No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SC Freiburg beat Union Berlin 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for SC Freiburg at 64%. The goals: Rani Khedira (own goal) 55' for SC Freiburg, Yuito Suzuki 67' for SC Freiburg. On expected goals it finished 2.32–0.37.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave SC Freiburg a 52.8% chance to finish in the top four: 55.6% after a win, 47.0% after a draw, 44.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 55.6%, 2.8 points higher than before the match.

For Union Berlin the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 36.8% going in: 27.8% after a win, 35.3% after a draw, 38.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 38.6%, 1.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.