WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: WSG Wattens 1-1 Austria Vienna.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% WSG Wattens, 29% draw, 31% Austria Vienna — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
WSG Wattens at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1S. HamzićG
- 23M. BorasD
- 14D. KubattaD
- 3D. GugganigD
- 28M. OswaldD
- 11M. ŞatinM
- 30M. TafernerM
- 6Marc StriednigM
- 17M. OlakigbeM
- 8N. FrederiksenF
- 37M. WelsF
- 18H. BalićF
- 43N. ČelićM
- 13A. EckmayrG
- 36T. GoigingerF
- 32Raphael GschösserM
- 16L. HinterseerF
- 27D. JauneggD
- 5D. MurrayD
- 10T. SabitzerF
- 1S. Şahin-RadlingerG
- 26R. RanftlD
- 15A. DragovićD
- 2W. VorsagerD
- 17Lee Tae-SeokD
- 40Daniel NnodimM
- 5V. MüllerM
- 30M. FischerM
- 10S. SaljicM
- 7V. MarkovicM
- 19J. EggesteinF
- 22F. WustingerM
- 44V. ToiflD
- 21Matteo SchablasM
- 6Philipp MaybachM
- 99M. KosG
- 46J. HandlD
- 42D. EwemadeF
- 3I. BuhariD
- 14K. BoatengF
Form going into WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
- L1-2away to Lask Linz31 October 2026
- D1-1Grazer AK24 October 2026
- W2-0away to Wolfsberger AC18 October 2026
- L1-2Ried10 October 2026
Austria Vienna
Bundesliga
- L0-2Rapid Vienna1 November 2026
- L1-2away to SCR Altach23 October 2026
- L2-3away to Ried17 October 2026
- L0-2Sturm Graz10 October 2026
What these results say
- WSG Wattens scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- WSG Wattens failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- WSG Wattens conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Austria Vienna did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Austria Vienna conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | WSG Wattens | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Austria Vienna | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna
- 2 September 2026Austria Vienna 0–1 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 29 November 2025Austria Vienna 0–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 18 October 2025WSG Wattens 2–3 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 16 March 2025WSG Wattens 0–2 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 26 October 2024Austria Vienna 3–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 23 April 2024WSG Wattens 1–0 Austria ViennaBundesliga
Leading scorers: WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna
WSG Wattens
GoalsAssists
- N. Frederiksen50
Austria Vienna
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for WSG Wattens at 40% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Nikolai Baden Frederiksen 16' for WSG Wattens, Aleksandar Dragović 42' for Austria Vienna. On expected goals it finished 1.60–0.71.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave WSG Wattens a 13.4% chance to finish in the bottom three: 6.2% after a win, 13.1% after a draw, 21.9% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 13.1%.
For Austria Vienna the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 45.9% going in: 30.5% after a win, 45.5% after a draw, 58.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 45.5%.
Read from our Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on WSG Wattens v Austria Vienna has moved
First published on 25 Oct at 39% / 28% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 40% / 29% / 31%: the biggest move is Austria Vienna's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- WSG Wattens win40%▲ +1
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Austria Vienna win31%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.