9 October 2026, 17:30 UTC

SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900 Challenge League prediction & result

Stadion Kleinfeld, Kriens
Referee: Z. Prskalo
Full time1 – 1

Final score: SC Kriens 1-1 FC WIL 1900.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% SC Kriens, 24% draw, 19% FC WIL 1900 — fair odds of 1.75, 4.17 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SC Kriens at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SC Kriens6%Draw91%FC WIL 19003%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
L. Schreiber
M. Willimann
27'
🔁E. Rufenerout: R. Hoxha
54'
🔁M. Ishuayedout: L. Maksutaj
55'
A. Krasniqi
57'
⚽M. Francoisassist: R. Hoxha
61'
64'
🔁P. Weberout: T. Staubli
64'
🔁X. Aliuout: M. Diarra
65'
🔁A. Rexhajout: P. Fischer
J. Hermann
67'
70'
⚽L. Schreiber
🔁N. Siegristout: L. Riedmann
71'
74'
Y. Schmid
83'
D. Kaiba
🔁E. Heinigerout: B. Mulliqi
83'
85'
🔁N. Ruppout: O. Bunjaku
88'
P. Sutter
90+2'
M. Diarra
90+2'
🔁L. Schreiberout: T. Seferovic

Form going into SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900

SC Kriens

Challenge League

  • W4-1Étoile Carouge18 September 2026

FC WIL 1900

Challenge League

  • W5-0Stade Nyonnais18 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4SC Kriens135442219+319
8FC WIL 1900133552127-614

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900

  • 22 August 2026FC WIL 1900 0–2 SC KriensChallenge League
  • 16 August 2025SC Kriens 2–3 FC WIL 1900Schweizer Cup
  • 20 January 2023FC WIL 1900 2–0 SC KriensFriendlies Clubs
  • 9 April 2022SC Kriens 2–1 FC WIL 1900Challenge League
  • 1 March 2022FC WIL 1900 3–1 SC KriensChallenge League

The result against the call

SC Kriens and FC WIL 1900 drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for SC Kriens at 57% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Francois 61' for SC Kriens, L. Schreiber 70' for FC WIL 1900.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave SC Kriens a 57.5% chance to finish in the top four: 64.5% after a win, 49.7% after a draw, 41.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 49.7%, 7.8 points lower than before the match.

For FC WIL 1900 the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 62.5% going in: 44.7% after a win, 58.8% after a draw, 68.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 58.8%, 3.7 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Challenge League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on SC Kriens v FC WIL 1900 has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 51% / 26% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 57% / 24% / 19%: the biggest move is SC Kriens's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. SC Kriens win57%▲ +6
  2. Draw24%▼ −2
  3. FC WIL 1900 win19%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.