5 September 2026, 13:30 UTC

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg Bundesliga prediction & result

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Final score: SC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC Freiburg.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% SC Paderborn 07, 33% draw, 29% SC Freiburg — fair odds of 2.63, 3.03 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

SC Paderborn 07 at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SC Paderborn 070%Draw3%SC Freiburg97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

26'
⚽Maximilian Eggestein
Laurin Curda
38'
43'
Yuito Suzuki
🔁Rayan Philippeout: Steffen Tigges
45'
Jano Ter-Horst
48'
56'
Philipp Lienhart
59'
Yannick Engelhardt
74'
🔁Jan-Niklas Besteout: Lukas Kübler
74'
🔁Derry Lionel Scherhantout: Vincenzo Grifo
🔁Laurin Ulrichout: Oliver Batista Meier
74'
82'
🔁Yannick Engelhardtout: Berkay Yilmaz
82'
🔁Yuito Suzukiout: Keisuke Goto
🔁Jano Ter-Horstout: Jonah Sticker
82'
🔁Marvin Pieringerout: Stefano Marino
82'
🔁Mattes Hansenout: Niklas Mohr
89'
Tjark Scheller
90+3'

Match stats — SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg

59%Possession41%
14Shots16
3On target5
5Corners4

Line-ups

SC Paderborn 07 3-5-2
  • 15N. NollG
  • 21J. ter HorstD
  • 25T. SchellerD
  • 22M. HansenD
  • 17L. CurdaM
  • 28L. UlrichM
  • 5S. CastañedaM
  • 40G. VidovićM
  • 23R. ObermairM
  • 18M. PieringerF
  • 9R. PhilippeF
Substitutes
  • 6T. BaackM
  • 7O. Batista MeierM
  • 29C. LippmannD
  • 30S. MarinoF
  • 24N. MohrM
  • 1M. SchubertG
  • 3Jonah Benedict StickerM
  • 27S. TiggesF
  • 8L. ĐurićM
Coach: R. Kettemann
SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. BackhausG
  • 29P. TreuD
  • 28M. GinterD
  • 3P. LienhartD
  • 33J. MakengoD
  • 8M. EggesteinM
  • 16Y. EngelhardtM
  • 19J. BesteM
  • 14Y. SuzukiM
  • 7D. ScherhantM
  • 31I. MatanovićF
Substitutes
  • 37M. RosenfelderD
  • 43I. OgbusD
  • 21F. MüllerG
  • 17L. KüblerD
  • 22Cyriaque Kalou IriéF
  • 30C. GünterD
  • 32V. GrifoM
  • 42K. GotoF
  • 27Berkay YilmazD
Coach: J. Schuster

Form going into SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg

SC Paderborn 07

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to FSV Mainz 0529 August 2026

SC Freiburg

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1Werder Bremen30 August 2026
  • W4-1Motherwell27 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Motherwell20 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13SC Paderborn 079243811-310
3SC Freiburg96122010+1019

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg

  • 1 November 2023SC Freiburg 1–3 SC Paderborn 07DFB Pokal
  • 25 January 2020SC Freiburg 0–2 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
  • 24 August 2019SC Paderborn 07 1–3 SC FreiburgBundesliga
  • 29 April 2016SC Paderborn 07 1–2 SC Freiburg2. Bundesliga
  • 22 November 2015SC Freiburg 4–1 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga

The full SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg record →

Leading scorers: SC Paderborn 07 and SC Freiburg

SC Paderborn 07

No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

SC Freiburg

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Suzuki50
  • I. Matanović41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SC Freiburg won 1–0 at SC Paderborn 07. The model had leaned towards a win for SC Paderborn 07 at 38% and given a win for SC Freiburg 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Maximilian Eggestein 26' for SC Freiburg.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.