Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV Elversberg.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Borussia Mönchengladbach, 31% draw, 30% SV Elversberg — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Borussia Mönchengladbach at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg
Line-ups
- 1M. NicolasG
- 29J. ScallyD
- 6K. ItakuraD
- 4K. DiksD
- 26L. UllrichD
- 16P. SanderM
- 34M. NguefackM
- 9F. HonoratM
- 36W. MohyaM
- 38H. BolinM
- 11T. KleindienstF
- 18S. MachinoF
- 7K. StögerM
- 33D. BatzG
- 2F. ChiarodiaD
- 25R. HackM
- 20D. HeroldD
- 19N. KühnF
- 5J. LeszczyńskiD
- 3I. LidbergF
- 20N. KristofG
- 30J. GyamerahD
- 19L. PinckertD
- 31M. RohrD
- 21L. GüntherD
- 43F. KeidelM
- 8Ł. PorębaM
- 25L. PetkovM
- 40Francis-Ikechukwu OnyekaM
- 39William Cole CampbellM
- 42D. MokwaF
- 6A. CondéM
- 10Noah DarvichM
- 9N. FutkeuF
- 7M. KrattenmacherM
- 3F. Le JoncourD
- 2N. MickelsonD
- 24L. SchnellbacherM
- 26L. SirchD
- 28T. BossG
Form going into Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to RB Leipzig29 August 2026
SV Elversberg
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Bayer Leverkusen29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg
- 22 December 2020SV Elversberg 0–5 Borussia MönchengladbachDFB Pokal
Leading scorers: Borussia Mönchengladbach and SV Elversberg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
SV Elversberg
GoalsAssists
- M. Krattenmacher41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SV Elversberg won 4–3 at Borussia Mönchengladbach. The model had leaned towards a win for Borussia Mönchengladbach at 39% and given a win for SV Elversberg 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Hugo Bolin 11' for Borussia Mönchengladbach, David Mokwa 29' for SV Elversberg, Hugo Bolin 44' for Borussia Mönchengladbach, Joe Scally 56' for Borussia Mönchengladbach, Maurice Krattenmacher 66' for SV Elversberg, Felix Keidel 80' for SV Elversberg, Maurice Krattenmacher 90+2' for SV Elversberg.