Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV Elversberg.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Borussia Mönchengladbach, 31% draw, 30% SV Elversberg — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Borussia Mönchengladbach at 39% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg
Line-ups
- 1M. NicolasG
- 29J. ScallyD
- 6K. ItakuraD
- 4K. DiksD
- 26L. UllrichD
- 16P. SanderM
- 34M. NguefackM
- 9F. HonoratM
- 36W. MohyaM
- 38H. BolinM
- 11T. KleindienstF
- 18S. MachinoF
- 7K. StögerM
- 33D. BatzG
- 2F. ChiarodiaD
- 25R. HackM
- 20D. HeroldD
- 19N. KühnF
- 5J. LeszczyńskiD
- 3I. LidbergF
- 20N. KristofG
- 30J. GyamerahD
- 19L. PinckertD
- 31M. RohrD
- 21L. GüntherD
- 43F. KeidelM
- 8Ł. PorębaM
- 25L. PetkovM
- 40Francis-Ikechukwu OnyekaM
- 39William Cole CampbellM
- 42D. MokwaF
- 6A. CondéM
- 10Noah DarvichM
- 9N. FutkeuF
- 7M. KrattenmacherM
- 3F. Le JoncourD
- 2N. MickelsonD
- 24L. SchnellbacherM
- 26L. SirchD
- 28T. BossG
Form going into Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- L0-3away to RB Leipzig29 August 2026
SV Elversberg
- W3-2Bayer Leverkusen29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 |
| 6 | SV Elversberg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg
- 5 September 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 SV ElversbergBundesliga
- 22 December 2020SV Elversberg 0–5 Borussia MonchengladbachDFB Pokal
Leading scorers: Borussia Mönchengladbach and SV Elversberg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- H. Bolin2 goals
SV Elversberg
- M. Krattenmacher3 goals
- D. Mokwa2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.