5 September 2026, 16:30 UTC

FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München Bundesliga prediction & result

Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen
Full time0 – 0

Final score: FC Schalke 04 0-0 Bayern München.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% FC Schalke 04, 25% draw, 50% Bayern München — fair odds of 4.00, 4.00 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Bayern München at 50% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Schalke 043%Draw90%Bayern München7%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Junior Dina Ebimbe
31'
35'
Dayot Upamecano
45'
🔁Nathaniel Brownout: Harry Kane
57'
🔁Lennart Karlout: Jamal Musiala
57'
🔁Ismael Saibariout: Michael Olise
🔁Robin Gosensout: Vitalie Becker
65'
🔁Junior Dina Ebimbeout: Mertcan Ayhan
65'
72'
Aleksandar Pavlović
Nikola Katić
73'
🔁Dejan Ljubičićout: Luca Vozar
74'
🔁Hassan Kurucayout: Maximilian Wöber
74'
74'
🔁Aleksandar Pavlovićout: Tom Bischof
🔁Adil Aouchicheout: Kenan Karaman
84'

Match stats — FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München

17%Possession83%
4Shots15
1On target5
0Corners11

Line-ups

FC Schalke 04 3-4-2-1
  • 1L. KariusG
  • 5T. BeckerD
  • 25N. KatićD
  • 4H. KuruçayD
  • 29J. Dina EbimbeM
  • 23S. El-FaouziM
  • 13S. TanakaM
  • 8R. GosensM
  • 21D. LjubičićM
  • 24A. AouchicheM
  • 9M. SyllaF
Substitutes
  • 19K. KaramanF
  • 22K. MüllerG
  • 38L. VozarM
  • 39M. WöberD
  • 20J. AdamuF
  • 43M. AyhanD
  • 14J. BachmannM
  • 33Vitalie BeckerD
  • 10E. DžekoF
Coach: M. Muslić
Bayern München 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. NeuerG
  • 27K. LaimerD
  • 2D. UpamecanoD
  • 4J. TahD
  • 19A. DaviesD
  • 6J. KimmichM
  • 45A. PavlovićM
  • 42L. KarlM
  • 11N. BrownM
  • 14L. DíazM
  • 34I. SaibariF
Substitutes
  • 9H. KaneF
  • 3Kim Min-JaeD
  • 10J. MusialaM
  • 17M. OliseM
  • 39Bara NdiayeM
  • 44J. StanišićD
  • 40J. UrbigG
  • 8T. BischofM
  • 21H. ItoD
Coach: V. Kompany

Form going into FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München

FC Schalke 04

  • L0-3away to FC Augsburg30 August 2026

Bayern München

  • W5-1VfB Stuttgart28 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11FC Schalke 04311134-14
4Bayern München321072+57

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München

  • 5 September 2026FC Schalke 04 0–0 Bayern MünchenBundesliga
  • 13 May 2023Bayern Munich 6–0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
  • 12 November 2022FC Schalke 04 0–2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
  • 24 January 2021FC Schalke 04 0–4 Bayern MunichBundesliga
  • 18 September 2020Bayern Munich 8–0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
  • 3 March 2020FC Schalke 04 0–1 Bayern MunichDFB Pokal
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.