Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Sirius 2-2 IF Brommapojkarna.
Before kick-off the model made it 80% Sirius, 13% draw, 7% IF Brommapojkarna — fair odds of 1.25, 7.69 and 14.29. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sirius at 80% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna
Line-ups
- 34D. CelicG
- 5H. CastegrenD
- 2M. SoumahD
- 4T. AnkerD
- 22O. KrusnellD
- 24V. SvenssonM
- 10M. HeierM
- 6M. LindbergM
- 25O. AdinduF
- 11I. BjerkeboF
- 36A. LjungbergF
- 1I. DiawaraG
- 15S. SandbergD
- 19N. MilleskogF
- 16O. LiimattaM
- 18A. WikmanM
- 21C. NildenM
- 20V. EkstromD
- 7J. PerssonF
- 23F. NeatF
- 1L. CavalliusG
- 11R. OrqvistD
- 23J. Simpson
- 3A. TroelsenD
- 6O. ZandenD
- 17A. KurochkinM
- 16S. StrandM
- 27K. BarslundM
- 7O. OkekeM
- 10O. BergF
- 14K. SeverF
- 25D. BlazevicG
- 30L. BjorklundM
- 24M. DerbaliM
- 26B. Apiiga
- 22R. BergvallD
- 4O. CottonD
- 5S. NgoualiM
- 20W. OdefalkM
- 12B. AmoleF
Form going into Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna
Sirius
- W2-0away to Halmstad3 August 2026
- W4-1IFK Goteborg26 July 2026
- W3-1away to IF Elfsborg19 July 2026
IF Brommapojkarna
- L1-2Malmo FF2 August 2026
- D1-1Hammarby FF26 July 2026
- L1-2away to IFK Goteborg17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 50 | 27 | +23 | 48 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna
- 10 August 2026Sirius 2–2 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 12 July 2026IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 SiriusAllsvenskan
- 17 August 2025IF Brommapojkarna 2–4 SiriusAllsvenskan
- 13 April 2025Sirius 0–3 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 29 January 2025Sirius 2–1 IF BrommapojkarnaFriendlies Clubs
- 15 September 2024Sirius 3–2 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Sirius and IF Brommapojkarna
Sirius
- R. Ure15 goals2 assists
- I. Bjerkebo13 goals5 assists
IF Brommapojkarna
- M. Hansen7 goals6 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.