Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgardens IF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Vasteras SK FK 1-0 Djurgardens IF.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Vasteras SK FK, 21% draw, 39% Djurgardens IF — fair odds of 2.50, 4.76 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vasteras SK FK at 40% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgardens IF
Line-ups
- 34E. JagerG
- 2H. MagnussonD
- 4P. BondeD
- 28M. KeitaD
- 11S. GefvertM
- 8M. DiagneM
- 30M. Hellisdal
- 15J. KarlssonM
- 5K. GunnarssonF
- 16B. LendambiF
- 17T. AxelF
- 1A. FagerstromG
- 19J. MagnussonM
- 20M. LjungqvistD
- 21V. WernerssonM
- 7A. BoudahF
- 22L. BarkD
- 3M. BaggesenD
- 32M. AbdiM
- 24J. TagessonD
- 35J. RinneG
- 18A. StahlD
- 5M. TenhoD
- 4J. UneD
- 24M. LarssonD
- 14H. FinndellM
- 20M. SiltanenM
- 8P. AslundM
- 16B. HeglandM
- 15O. FalleniusM
- 9K. LienF
- 30L. JonssonG
- 13D. StenssonM
- 21M. MarquesD
- 7C. AlmyrasM
- 25D. Tschoumy-NanaD
- 29A. JohanssonM
- 2P. JohanssonD
- 19J. OkkelsF
- 23N. ZugeljF
Form going into Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgardens IF
Vasteras SK FK
- L0-6away to Djurgardens IF3 August 2026
- W2-0Orgryte IS24 July 2026
- D0-0away to Mjallby AIF17 July 2026
Djurgardens IF
- W6-0Vasteras SK FK3 August 2026
- W1-0away to Degerfors IF25 July 2026
- D0-0away to Orgryte IS20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vasteras SK FK | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 32 |
| 2 | Djurgardens IF | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 19 | +27 | 41 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgardens IF
- 10 August 2026Vasteras SK FK 1–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 3 August 2026Djurgardens IF 6–0 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
- 7 February 2026Vasteras SK FK 0–1 Djurgardens IFFriendlies Clubs
- 25 January 2025Vasteras SK FK 3–3 Djurgardens IFFriendlies Clubs
- 28 October 2024Djurgardens IF 2–1 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
- 5 May 2024Vasteras SK FK 0–2 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Vasteras SK FK and Djurgardens IF
Vasteras SK FK
- M. Ladefoged9 goals2 assists
- A. Taonsa6 goals
Djurgardens IF
- K. Lien15 goals4 assists
- Bo Åsulv Hegland8 goals14 assists
- P. Åslund6 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.