10 August 2026, 22:00 UTC

Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Banfield 0-2 Belgrano Cordoba.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Banfield, 24% draw, 26% Belgrano Cordoba — fair odds of 2.00, 4.17 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Banfield at 50% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Banfield0%Draw1%Belgrano Cordoba99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Tomas Adoryan
14'
41'
Adrián Spörle
Tiziano Perrotta
44'
🔁T. Adoryanout: L. Gomez
46'
48'
⚽L. Passerini
61'
⚽L. Lopezassist: L. Zelarayan
🔁B. Oviedoout: N. Moreno
64'
🔁D. Zalazarout: L. Pinero
64'
🔁S. Esquivelout: N. Pais
74'
74'
🔁L. Zelarayanout: L. Gutierrez
🔁B. Sepulvedaout: F. Anselmo
75'
78'
🔁J. Velazquezout: G. Zelarayan
88'
🔁R. Hernandesout: M. Ortiz
88'
🔁E. Rigoniout: A. Bono
Lisandro Piñero
90+4'

Match stats — Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba

50%Possession50%
18Shots14
6On target5
4Corners1
1.93xG1.7

Goals against chances

Banfield0 from 1.93 xGless than the chances were worth
Belgrano Cordoba2 from 1.70 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Banfield 3-4-1-2
  • 1F. SanguinettiG
  • 13B. OviedoD
  • 34S. DanieleD
  • 6N. MerianoD
  • 24S. LopezM
  • 20T. AdoryanM
  • 5S. EsquivelM
  • 27I. AbrahamM
  • 40D. ZalazarF
  • 17T. PerrottaF
  • 9B. SepulvedaF
Substitutes
  • 25G. SantilliG
  • 11F. AlvarezM
  • 30F. AnselmoF
  • 21L. VillegasM
  • 8L. RiosM
  • 18F. MedinaM
  • 33N. MorenoM
  • 35N. PaisM
  • 4J. L. AlfaroD
Coach: Pedro Troglio
Belgrano Cordoba 4-2-3-1
  • 25T. CardozoG
  • 14L. MoralesD
  • 2A. MaldonadoD
  • 17L. LopezD
  • 3A. SporleD
  • 8R. Hernandes
  • 11F. GonzalezM
  • 24E. RigoniM
  • 10L. ZelarayanM
  • 53J. VelazquezM
  • 9L. PasseriniF
Substitutes
  • 23M. VicentiniG
  • 16F. RiccaD
  • 37L. GutierrezF
  • 30G. ZelarayanF
  • 19S. Gatti
  • 15R. TulianM
  • 29M. OrtizF
  • 66J. Nunez
  • 4A. Rosso
Coach: Ricardo Zielinski

Form going into Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba

Banfield

  • D0-0away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1 August 2026
  • W3-2Sarmiento Junin28 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Huracan25 July 2026

Belgrano Cordoba

  • D0-0away to Tigre6 August 2026
  • L0-1Argentinos Juniors1 August 2026
  • W2-1Rosario Central23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba

  • 10 August 2026Banfield 0–2 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 8 February 2026Belgrano Cordoba 1–0 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 9 August 2025Belgrano Cordoba 2–1 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 7 February 2025Banfield 1–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 6 November 2024Banfield 1–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 26 June 2023Belgrano Cordoba 3–1 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina

Leading scorers: Banfield and Belgrano Cordoba

Banfield

  • M. Méndez6 goals3 assists
  • Tiziano Perrota6 goals1 assists

Belgrano Cordoba

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.