Halmstad vs Gais Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Halmstad 0-2 Gais.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Halmstad, 25% draw, 37% Gais — fair odds of 2.63, 4.00 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Halmstad at 38% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Halmstad vs Gais
Line-ups
- 1Tim RönningG
- 17Andre BomanD
- 5Pascal GregorD
- 3Gabriel WallentinD
- 24Rami KaibD
- 19Marvin IllaryM
- 27Rocco AsconeM
- 6Joel AllanssonM
- 14Hussein CarneilM
- 11Ludvig ArvidssonF
- 18Malte PerssonF
- 13Vincent JohanssonM
- 9Omar FarajF
- 22Oliver KapsimalisF
- 35Adam WihedG
- 16Erko Jonne TougjasD
- 21Joel NilssonM
- 4Filip SchybergD
- 25Aleksander NilssonM
- 8Niilo MäenpääM
- 1Mergim KrasniqiG
- 12Robin FrejD
- 4Oskar ÅgrenD
- 24Filip BeckmanD
- 2Matteo de BrienneD
- 8William MilovanovicM
- 10Henry SletsjoeM
- 17Róbert Frosti ThorkelssonM
- 32Oscar PetterssonF
- 21Nikola VasicF
- 11Rasmus NiklassonF
- 6August WängbergD
- 16Max AnderssonM
- 20Samuel SalterF
- 34Dennis CollanderM
- 14Simon Girke JørgensenF
- 30Adin TihicG
- 22Anes CardaklijaD
- 7Joackim FagerjordM
- 27Mohamed BawaM
Form going into Halmstad vs Gais
Halmstad
- L0-2Sirius3 August 2026
- D1-1away to Gais26 July 2026
- L0-2BK Hacken19 July 2026
Gais
- L0-6away to FC Nordsjaelland30 July 2026
- D1-1Halmstad26 July 2026
- W1-0FC Nordsjaelland23 July 2026
- L0-2away to AIK Stockholm18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Halmstad | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 11 |
| 10 | Gais | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Halmstad vs Gais
- 9 August 2026Halmstad 0–2 GaisAllsvenskan
- 26 July 2026Gais 1–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 17 June 2026Gais 1–1 HalmstadFriendlies Clubs
- 29 March 2026Gais 2–0 HalmstadFriendlies Clubs
- 26 July 2025Gais 3–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 14 May 2025Halmstad 1–3 GaisAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Halmstad and Gais
Halmstad
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Gais
- S. Salter6 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.