Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Malmo FF 1-2 Degerfors IF.
Before kick-off the model made it 76% Malmo FF, 15% draw, 9% Degerfors IF — fair odds of 1.32, 6.67 and 11.11. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Malmo FF at 76% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF
Line-ups
- 1Robin OlsenG
- 17Jens Stryger LarsenD
- 5Andrej ĐurićD
- 44Malte PalssonD
- 47Theodor LundberghD
- 7Otto RosengrenM
- 45Anton HöögM
- 40Kenan BusuladžićM
- 37Adrian SkogmarM
- 29Sead HakšabanovićM
- 20Erik BotheimF
- 9Diego GarcíaF
- 2Johan KarlssonD
- 39Isaac AssibuF
- 32Daníel Tristan GuðjohnsenF
- 27Johan DahlinG
- 51Vicente HidalgoD
- 42Viggo JeppssonM
- 28Jovan MilosavljevićM
- 38Matvei IgonenG
- 16Sebastian OhlssonD
- 2Ahmad FaqaD
- 3Nikolai SkusethD
- 4Kazper KarlssonD
- 18Samba DiataraD
- 23Robin DzabicM
- 22Nahom GirmaiM
- 20Elias BarsoumM
- 17Arman TaranisF
- 11Dijan VukojevicF
- 14Ludvig FritzsonF
- 7Sebastian OhlssonD
- 9Karim BouteraF
- 15Nasiru MoroD
- 24Olle LeonardssonF
- 1Wille JakobssonG
- 28Jesús HernándezD
- 19Alexander LindgrenM
Form going into Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
- W2-1away to IF Brommapojkarna2 August 2026
- L1-2IF Elfsborg26 July 2026
- D2-2away to Kalmar FF20 July 2026
Degerfors IF
- L0-2away to IFK Goteborg2 August 2026
- L0-1Djurgardens IF25 July 2026
- L0-4away to Hammarby FF19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Malmo FF | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 31 | +6 | 33 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF
- 9 August 2026Malmo FF 1–2 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 4 July 2026Degerfors IF 0–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 31 August 2025Malmo FF 1–1 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 11 May 2025Degerfors IF 1–4 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 23 September 2023Degerfors IF 1–2 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 5 June 2023Malmo FF 5–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Malmo FF and Degerfors IF
Malmo FF
- E. Botheim10 goals3 assists
Degerfors IF
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.