Hammarby FF vs BK Hacken Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Hammarby FF 3-0 BK Hacken.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Hammarby FF, 22% draw, 33% BK Hacken — fair odds of 2.22, 4.55 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hammarby FF at 45% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hammarby FF vs BK Hacken
Line-ups
- 1Warner HahnG
- 2Hampus SkoglundD
- 6Ibrahima FofanaD
- 24Waylon ReneckeD
- 16Noah PerssonD
- 28Frank Junior AdjeiM
- 8Markus KarlssonM
- 17Amin BoudriM
- 26Montader MadjedF
- 7Paulos AbrahamF
- 9Victor LindF
- 5Tesfaldet TekieM
- 11Oscar Johansson SchellhasM
- 31Oscar Steinke BrånbyD
- 15Oliver Jordan HagenF
- 30Suwaibou KebbehF
- 27Felix JakobssonG
- 4Victor ErikssonD
- 3Frederik WintherD
- 20Nahir BesaraM
- 35David AnderssonG
- 5Brice WembangomoD
- 13Harry HilveniusD
- 22Filip HelanderD
- 21Adam LundqvistD
- 32Harun IbrahimM
- 8Simen HestnesM
- 6Abdoulaye DoumbiaM
- 20Adrian SvanbackM
- 9Gustav LindgrenF
- 10Mikkel RygaardF
- 27Wawa ChristF
- 23Olle SamuelssonD
- 15Leo VäisänenD
- 7Sanders NgaboM
- 19David SegerM
- 99Etrit BerishaG
- 16Pontus DahboM
- 24Bamir SadikuF
- 25Sabri KondoM
Form going into Hammarby FF vs BK Hacken
Hammarby FF
- D0-0away to Raków Częstochowa6 August 2026
- L1-3away to Anderlecht30 July 2026
- D1-1away to IF Brommapojkarna26 July 2026
- D1-1Anderlecht23 July 2026
- W4-0Degerfors IF19 July 2026
BK Hacken
- D1-1Kalmar FF1 August 2026
- D0-0AIK Stockholm27 July 2026
- W2-0away to Halmstad19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hammarby FF | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 20 | +28 | 40 |
| 6 | BK Hacken | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 30 | +4 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hammarby FF vs BK Hacken
- 9 August 2026Hammarby FF 3–0 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 24 June 2026BK Hacken 1–4 Hammarby FFFriendlies Clubs
- 31 May 2026BK Hacken 3–2 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 21 September 2025Hammarby FF 4–0 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 27 April 2025BK Hacken 1–1 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 26 September 2024Hammarby FF 2–0 BK HackenAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Hammarby FF and BK Hacken
Hammarby FF
- P. Abraham13 goals3 assists
- V. Lind9 goals11 assists
BK Hacken
- G. Lindgren9 goals
- Julius Lindberg6 goals5 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.