15 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

OH Leuven vs Club Brugge KV Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Den Dreef, Heverlee
Full time0 – 3

Final score: OH Leuven 0-3 Club Brugge KV.

Before kick-off the model made it 24% OH Leuven, 20% draw, 56% Club Brugge KV — fair odds of 4.17, 5.00 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Club Brugge KV at 56% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

OH Leuven0%Draw1%Club Brugge KV99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁H. Teklabout: D. Opoku
17'
26'
⚽M. Diakhonassist: C. Forbs
60'
⚽B. Mecheleassist: M. Diakhon
🔁N. Dussenneout: T. Ogiwara
75'
🔁K. Vaesenout: L. Lakomy
75'
🔁C. Ikwuemesiout: S. Yamada
75'
78'
🔁H. Vetlesenout: F. Lemarechal
78'
🔁M. Diakhonout: J. Virgili
83'
⚽N. Tresoldiassist: F. Lemarechal
85'
🔁N. Tresoldiout: R. Vermant
🔁R. Nyakossiout: B. Kayo
86'
87'
🔁J. Seysout: H. Siquet
87'
🔁F. Pottsout: J. Spileers

Match stats — OH Leuven vs Club Brugge KV

39%Possession61%
16Shots28
1On target9
4Corners16
0.72xG2.92

Goals against chances

OH Leuven0 from 0.72 xGless than the chances were worth
Club Brugge KV3 from 2.92 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

OH Leuven
  • 16D. van den Heuvel
  • 28E. Pletinckx
  • 3N. Dussenne
  • 34R. Nyakossi
  • 27O. Gil
  • 6W. George
  • 8S. Schrijvers
  • 11H. Teklab
  • 17K. Vaesen
  • 19C. Ikwuemesi
  • 21W. Balikwisha
Substitutes
  • 1T. Leysen
  • 81M. Van Dijck
  • 26T. Ogiwara
  • 99D. Opoku
  • 48B. Kayo
  • 80M. Heremans
  • 4B. Verstraete
  • 24L. Lakomy
  • 72S. Murru
Coach: Timmy Simons
Club Brugge KV
  • 1Y. Sommer
  • 64K. Sabbe
  • 3Lee Han-Beom
  • 44B. Mechele
  • 65J. Seys
  • 8F. Potts
  • 20H. Vanaken
  • 9C. Forbs
  • 10H. Vetlesen
  • 67M. Diakhon
  • 7N. Tresoldi
Substitutes
  • 29N. Jackers
  • 81A. Vanden Driessche
  • 41H. Siquet
  • 58J. Spileers
  • 54S. Coulibaly
  • 16C. Tsawa
  • 80F. Lemarechal
  • 17R. Vermant
  • 77A. Vasovic
Coach: Ivan Leko

Form going into OH Leuven vs Club Brugge KV

OH Leuven

  • L1-3away to Charleroi9 August 2026

Club Brugge KV

  • W3-0Kortrijk7 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17OH Leuven6015313-101
3Club Brugge KV6501123+915

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: OH Leuven vs Club Brugge KV

  • 15 August 2026OH Leuven 0–3 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
  • 21 February 2026Club Brugge KV 2–1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • 3 December 2025OH Leuven 1–2 Club Brugge KVCup
  • 18 October 2025OH Leuven 0–1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
  • 8 February 2025Club Brugge KV 1–0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
  • 7 January 2025Club Brugge KV 3–0 OH LeuvenCup

Leading scorers: OH Leuven and Club Brugge KV

OH Leuven

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.

Club Brugge KV

  • N. Tresoldi3 goals
  • H. Vetlesen3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.