16 August 2026, 11:30 UTC

Zenit vs Dynamo Premier League prediction & result

Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Zenit 3-0 Dynamo.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% Zenit, 19% draw, 16% Dynamo — fair odds of 1.54, 5.26 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Zenit at 65% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zenit99%Draw1%Dynamo0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Aleksandr Sobolev
27'
⚽A. Sobolev (pen)
29'
⚽A. Sobolevassist: M. Glushenkov
33'
🔁Ninoout: K. Andrade
46'
Kevin Andrade
59'
60'
🔁Y. Gladyshevout: I. Sergeev
Maksim Glushenkov
69'
🔁A. Sobolevout: N. Alip
71'
🔁Jhon Jhonout: Felipe Augusto
71'
73'
🔁D. Fominout: A. Miranchuk
73'
🔁Arthur Gomesout: V. Okishor
🔁Pedrinhoout: Douglas Santos
78'
80'
Juan Cáceres
🔁Wendelout: D. Kondakov
83'
85'
🔁J. Caceresout: D. Skopintsev
86'
David Ricardo
⚽M. Glushenkov
87'

Match stats — Zenit vs Dynamo

44%Possession56%
3Shots13
3On target3
1Corners7

Line-ups

Zenit 4-2-3-1
  • 16D. AdamovG
  • 31Gustavo MantuanD
  • 78I. DiveevD
  • 33NinoD
  • 66R. VegaD
  • 5W. BarriosM
  • 8WendelM
  • 10M. GlushenkovM
  • 20PedrinhoM
  • 14Jhon JhonM
  • 7A. SobolevF
Substitutes
  • 71D. OdoevskiyG
  • 57B. MoskvichevG
  • 3Douglas SantosD
  • 28N. AlipD
  • 15V. KaravaevD
  • 82S. VolkovD
  • 25K. AndradeD
  • 21A. ErokhinM
  • 61D. KondakovM
Coach: Sergey Semak
Dynamo 4-3-3
  • 1K. RasulovG
  • 4J. CaceresD
  • 55M. OsipenkoD
  • 57David RicardoD
  • 8RubensD
  • 74D. FominM
  • 60T. MarinkinM
  • 10BitelloM
  • 91Y. GladyshevF
  • 70K. TyukavinF
  • 11Arthur GomesF
Substitutes
  • 31I. LeshchukG
  • 51R. DzhioevG
  • 7D. SkopintsevD
  • 56L. ZaydenzalD
  • 6R. FernandezD
  • 5M. MajstorovicD
  • 21A. MiranchukM
  • 24L. ChavezM
  • 88V. OkishorM
Coach: Sandro Schwarz

Form going into Zenit vs Dynamo

Zenit

  • L1-2Rodina Moskva9 August 2026

Dynamo

  • W3-1Dinamo Makhachkala9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Zenit9603199+1018
4Dynamo8512118+316

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zenit vs Dynamo

  • 16 August 2026Zenit 3–0 DynamoPremier League
  • 22 March 2026Dynamo 1–3 ZenitPremier League
  • 3 February 2026Zenit 2–1 DynamoFriendlies Clubs
  • 27 November 2025Dynamo 0–1 ZenitCup
  • 5 November 2025Zenit 1–3 DynamoCup
  • 26 October 2025Zenit 2–1 DynamoPremier League

Leading scorers: Zenit and Dynamo

Zenit

  • A. Sobolev6 goals1 assists
  • M. Glushenkov5 goals2 assists

Dynamo

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.