22 August 2026, 18:15 UTC

Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Łódź Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Tarczynski Arena
Full time3 – 3

Final score: Slask Wroclaw 3-3 Widzew Łódź.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Slask Wroclaw, 24% draw, 31% Widzew Łódź — fair odds of 2.22, 4.17 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Slask Wroclaw at 45% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
•Przemysław Wiśniewski
7'
Przemysław Wiśniewski
11'
Steve Kapuadi
11'
🔁M. Fornalczykout: M. Zyro
15'
⚽M. Garcia
36'
⚽F. Alvarezassist: K. Swiderski
42'
Lindon Selahi
🔁J. Yriarteout: E. Shabani
42'
🔁A. Timossiout: M. Rosiak
46'
🔁I. Christodoulouout: P. Banaszak
46'
46'
🔁K. Swiderskiout: S. Bergier
⚽S. Kapuadi (OG)
47'
Michał Rosiak
57'
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
62'
63'
⚽A. Baena Perezassist: M. Garcia
🔁G. Tomasiewiczout: D. Markowski
67'
Eniss Shabani
69'
76'
🔁J. Shehuout: E. Kornvig
⚽P. Banaszakassist: P. Samiec-Talar
78'
•Luka Marjanac
84'
87'
🔁A. Baena Perezout: R. Visus
88'
Mateusz Żyro
⚽E. Shabaniassist: P. Samiec-Talar
89'

Match stats — Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Łódź

69%Possession31%
17Shots13
6On target7
5Corners0
1.83xG1.29

Goals against chances

Slask Wroclaw3 from 1.83 xGmore than the chances were worth
Widzew Łódź3 from 1.29 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw 5-3-2
  • 1K. NiemczyckiG
  • 21A. TimossiD
  • 33Y. MatsenkoD
  • 44M. MalecD
  • 3I. Christodoulou
  • 8M. LlinaresD
  • 7P. Samiec-TalarM
  • 15J. YriarteM
  • 20G. TomasiewiczM
  • 10P. M. DembeleF
  • 11L. MarjanacF
Substitutes
  • 25M. SzromnikG
  • 40D. KlintG
  • 2D. SzalaD
  • 26A. ZulewskiD
  • 4M. DijakovicD
  • 27M. RosiakD
  • 38D. MarkowskiM
  • 77E. ShabaniM
  • 23M. StangretM
Coach: Ante Simundza
Widzew Łódź 4-1-4-1
  • 1B. DragowskiG
  • 91M. KrajewskiD
  • 25P. WisniewskiD
  • 3S. KapuadiD
  • 40M. GarciaD
  • 18L. SelahiM
  • 77A. Baena PerezM
  • 10F. AlvarezM
  • 6J. ShehuM
  • 7M. FornalczykM
  • 28K. SwiderskiF
Substitutes
  • 30V. IlicG
  • 33J. KrzywanskiG
  • 4M. ZyroD
  • 14R. VisusD
  • 8E. KornvigM
  • 20A. KlukowskiM
  • 99S. BergierF
Coach: Aleksandar Vukovic

Form going into Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Łódź

Slask Wroclaw

  • L1-2away to Zaglebie Lubin15 August 2026

Widzew Łódź

  • L1-2Korona Kielce15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Slask Wroclaw81341013-36
11Widzew Łódź8152111108

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Łódź

  • 22 August 2026Slask Wroclaw 3–3 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
  • 15 February 2025Slask Wroclaw 3–0 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
  • 11 August 2024Widzew Łódź 0–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • 2 March 2024Slask Wroclaw 2–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
  • 25 August 2023Widzew Łódź 0–2 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • 17 February 2023Widzew Łódź 1–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Slask Wroclaw and Widzew Łódź

Slask Wroclaw

  • P. Samiec-Talar4 goals3 assists

Widzew Łódź

No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.