2 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen Superliga prediction & result

Haderslev Football Stadium, Haderslev
Referee: Mikkel Redder
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Sonderjyske 0-2 FC Copenhagen.

Before kick-off the model made it 21% Sonderjyske, 22% draw, 57% FC Copenhagen — fair odds of 4.76, 4.55 and 1.75.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Copenhagen at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sonderjyske0%Draw1%FC Copenhagen99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
⚽Felix Beijmo
Ismaïl Seydi
24'
Pachanga Cassoma Kristensen
26'
40'
⚽Andreas Corneliusassist: Mads Emil Madsen
🔁Anders Bergholtout: Sefer Emini
45'
61'
Mads Emil Madsen
62'
🔁Felix Beijmoout: Thomas Delaney
62'
🔁Rodrigo Huescasout: Junnosuke Suzuki
🔁Mohamed Cherifout: Matthew Hoppe
68'
70'
🔁Mads Emil Madsenout: Maher Carrizo
70'
🔁Andreas Corneliusout: Viktor Dadason
🔁Anders Raffnsøe Hoegout: Teodor Berg Haltvik
78'
🔁Mathias Olesenout: Jacob Christensen
78'
89'
🔁Birger Melingout: Marcos López
🔁Pachanga Cassoma Kristensenout: Andreas Oggesen
89'
Jacob Christensen
90+1'

Match stats — Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen

34%Possession66%
4Shots13
1On target4
1Corners5
0.31xG1.38

Goals against chances

Sonderjyske0 from 0.31 xGabout what the chances were worth
FC Copenhagen2 from 1.38 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sonderjyske 3-4-2-1
  • 16M. BundgaardG
  • 12M. SoulasD
  • 21S. VelkovD
  • 19P. KristensenD
  • 3A. MunksgaardM
  • 17A. HoegM
  • 10M. OlesenM
  • 28A. PedersenM
  • 31I. SeydiM
  • 8M. HaidaraM
  • 11O. De RosarioF
Substitutes
  • 25B. BjarnasonD
  • 33J. ChristensenM
  • 7S. EminiM
  • 14T. HaltvikM
  • 9M. HoppeF
  • 22A. OggesenM
  • 24N. ShintonG
  • 26B. TambedouF
  • 30G. WagnerD
Coach: Fatah Abdirahman
FC Copenhagen 3-4-2-1
  • 1D. RamajG
  • 2F. BeijmoD
  • 4A. SørensenD
  • 6A. MarkgráfD
  • 13R. HuescasM
  • 36W. ClemM
  • 21M. Emil MadsenM
  • 24B. MelingM
  • 33A. KrálM
  • 10M. ElyounoussiM
  • 14A. CorneliusF
Substitutes
  • 20J. SuzukiD
  • 44G. VianneyF
  • 31R. RúnarssonG
  • 45G. OlsenM
  • 28Hunor Vajk NémethM
  • 15M. LópezD
  • 27T. DelaneyM
  • 39V. DadasonF
  • 7M. CarrizoF
Coach: B. Svensson

Form going into Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen

Sonderjyske

Superliga

  • L1-5away to AC Horsens25 October 2026
  • W4-0Silkeborg18 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Aarhus12 October 2026

FC Copenhagen

Superliga

  • D1-1Odense26 October 2026
  • D1-1Aarhus18 October 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Midtjylland11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Sonderjyske142391933-149
1FC Copenhagen1410222912+1732

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen

  • 31 August 2026FC Copenhagen 3–1 SonderjyskeSuperliga
  • 7 December 2025FC Copenhagen 0–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
  • 27 September 2025Sonderjyske 1–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 9 March 2025FC Copenhagen 1–1 SonderjyskeSuperliga
  • 30 October 2024Sonderjyske 1–2 FC CopenhagenDBU Pokalen
  • 11 August 2024Sonderjyske 0–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga

Leading scorers: Sonderjyske and FC Copenhagen

Sonderjyske

GoalsAssists

  • M. Haidara50

FC Copenhagen

GoalsAssists

  • M. Elyounoussi72
  • B. Meling51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Copenhagen won 2–0 at Sonderjyske. The model had made a win for FC Copenhagen its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Felix Beijmo 20' for FC Copenhagen, Andreas Cornelius 40' for FC Copenhagen. On expected goals it finished 0.31–1.38.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sonderjyske a 80.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 66.1% after a win, 79.3% after a draw, 85.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 85.3%, 4.6 points higher than before the match.

For FC Copenhagen the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 27.6% going in: 31.9% after a win, 22.2% after a draw, 16.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 31.9%, 4.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Sonderjyske v FC Copenhagen has moved

First published on 19 Oct at 23% / 22% / 55% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 21% / 22% / 57%: the biggest move is Sonderjyske's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Sonderjyske win21%▼ −2
  2. Draw22%=
  3. FC Copenhagen win57%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.