Goias vs CRB Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Goias 2-1 CRB.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Goias, 27% draw, 31% CRB — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Goias at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Goias vs CRB
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23TadeuG
- 54Djalma SilvaD
- 3Luiz FelipeD
- 14Lucas RibeiroD
- 6NicolasD
- 97LourençoM
- 5Filipe MachadoM
- 10Lucas LimaM
- 35LuquinhasM
- 40KaduM
- 11Felipe ClementeF
- 2Rodrigo SoaresD
- 18CaduF
- 55Guilherme BaldóriaM
- 25Luis FellipeD
- 66Danilo CunhaD
- 17Pedro JunqueiraF
- 4Ramon MenezesD
- 1Thiago RodriguesG
- 27Wellington RatoM
- 1Vitor CaetanoG
- 32HeredaD
- 22BressanD
- 33LynconD
- 6ReversonD
- 21Pedro CastroM
- 20Vinicius BarataM
- 8CrystopherM
- 10DanielM
- 97Dadá BelmonteM
- 28MikaelF
- 99SaymomF
- 12MatheusG
- 17ThiaguinhoF
- 16MayconD
- 27Fábio AlemãoD
- 9João NetoF
- 18GeovaneM
- 45De LuccaM
- 7Douglas BaggioF
Form going into Goias vs CRB
Goias
Serie B
- W2-0away to Ceara27 October 2026
- D0-0Nautico Recife19 October 2026
CRB
Serie B
- W2-1Londrina24 October 2026
- L0-1Botafogo SP18 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Goias | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 58 |
| 7 | CRB | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 59 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Goias vs CRB
- 12 July 2026CRB 2–2 GoiasSerie B
- 8 October 2025Goias 1–2 CRBSerie B
- 14 June 2025CRB 2–0 GoiasSerie B
- 9 November 2024CRB 0–1 GoiasSerie B
- 26 July 2024Goias 1–1 CRBSerie B
- 12 September 2021CRB 0–1 GoiasSerie B
Leading scorers: Goias and CRB
Goias
GoalsAssists
- Kadu111
CRB
GoalsAssists
- Mikael174
- Crystopher78
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Goias beat CRB 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Goias at 42%. The goals: Djalma Silva 42' for Goias, Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro 76' for Goias, Dadá Belmonte 80' for CRB. On expected goals it finished 0.60–2.19.
How the call on Goias v CRB has moved
First published on 19 Oct at 41% / 26% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 42% / 27% / 31%: the biggest move is CRB's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Goias win42%▲ +1
- Draw27%▲ +1
- CRB win31%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.