Cambuur vs Twente Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: Cambuur 1-4 Twente.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Cambuur, 29% draw, 38% Twente — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Twente at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cambuur vs Twente
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1T. JansenG
- 23L. JettenD
- 6J. AmofaD
- 4I. BaoufD
- 14B. van DuijlD
- 28M. CostarelliD
- 29I. HenstraM
- 3J. BerkhoutM
- 8N. SourenM
- 10R. El ArguiouiM
- 7S. BouhoudaneF
- 21J. MeijsterG
- 24M. Kalisvaart
- 16R. MuldersD
- 15F. KvamF
- 2D. BouahM
- 33M. MaertensM
- 17E. ApkakouM
- 48D. WesterhofM
- 9S. VinkF
- 16J. DrommelG
- 28B. van RooijD
- 3R. PropperD
- 43R. NijstadD
- 29A. AdelgaardD
- 6R. ZerroukiM
- 42D. WeidmannM
- 27S. OrjasaeterM
- 19Y. TahaM
- 7M. PjacaM
- 9W. WeghorstF
- 1L. UnnerstallG
- 22R. PasveerG
- 12G. PeixotoD
- 38M. BrunsD
- 24K. KurowskiD
- 26B. NagelM
- 20T. van den BeltM
- 11D. RotsF
- 17F. ThorvaldsenF
Form going into Cambuur vs Twente
Cambuur
All competitions we cover
- L2-5Feyenoord23 August 2026
- L1-3away to Fortuna Sittard15 August 2026
- L0-4Excelsior7 August 2026
Twente
All competitions we cover
- W4-1away to Qarabag27 August 2026
- L0-1Qarabag20 August 2026
- W3-1PEC Zwolle16 August 2026
- D3-3away to Dunajska Streda13 August 2026
- L0-1away to Heerenveen9 August 2026
What these results say
- Twente conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 15 |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 12 | +18 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cambuur vs Twente
- 9 April 2023Twente 4–0 CambuurEredivisie
- 23 October 2022Cambuur 0–1 TwenteEredivisie
- 6 March 2022Twente 1–0 CambuurEredivisie
- 28 August 2021Cambuur 2–0 TwenteEredivisie
Leading scorers: Cambuur and Twente
Cambuur
GoalsAssists
- R. El Arguioui62
- I. Hamache53
- N. Binder52
Twente
GoalsAssists
- W. Weghorst92
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Twente won 4–1 at Cambuur. The model had made a win for Twente its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: R. Nijstad 22' for Twente, W. Weghorst 26' for Twente, M. Pjaca 47' for Twente, Y. Taha 82' for Twente, I. Hamache 88' for Cambuur. On expected goals it finished 0.47–1.76.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.