5 September 2026, 14:30 UTC

NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Eredivisie prediction & result

Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Full time1 – 3

Final score: NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Feyenoord.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% NEC Nijmegen, 29% draw, 33% Feyenoord — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

NEC Nijmegen at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

NEC Nijmegen0%Draw1%Feyenoord99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

45+3'
Gjivai Zechiel
Noe Lebreton
45+3'
50'
Oussama Targhalline
52'
⚽Gjivai Zechielassist: Nacho Ferri
⚽Darko Nejašmić
55'
59'
🔁Gaoussou Kyassou Diarraout: Jerayno Schaken
59'
🔁Nacho Ferriout: Shaqueel Van Persie
61'
⚽Luciano Valenteassist: Gjivai Zechiel
64'
⚽Jerayno Schakenassist: Gjivai Zechiel
🔁Kaj Sierhuisout: Dennis Geiger
72'
🔁Clement Bischoffout: Ayodele Thomas
72'
🔁Almugera Kabarout: Gabriel·Bras
72'
80'
🔁Gjivai Zechielout: Tobias van den Elshout
80'
🔁Givairo Readout: Mats Deijl
🔁Dušan Tadićout: Adam Tahaui
80'
🔁Bram Nuytinckout: Perr Schuurs
80'
85'
🔁Oussama Targhallineout: Thijs Kraaijeveld

Match stats — NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord

62%Possession38%
12Shots11
2On target6
1Corners1

Line-ups

NEC Nijmegen 3-4-1-2
  • 1G. CrettazG
  • 21T. StormD
  • 17B. NuytinckD
  • 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
  • 10D. TadićM
  • 6D. NejašmićM
  • 20N. LebretonM
  • 99Clement BischoffM
  • 9T. CheryM
  • 14K. SierhuisF
  • 30B. LinssenF
Substitutes
  • 73Gabriel BrásD
  • 18D. GeigerM
  • 38Joep GenesteG
  • 8I. Hansen-AarøenM
  • 34Kevin KersF
  • 35Jamiro MonteiroM
  • 12N. PolsterG
  • 4P. SchuursD
  • 19Adam TahauiF
Coach: Dick Schreuder
Feyenoord 4-3-3
  • 1T. ErnstG
  • 26G. ReadD
  • 4T. WatanabeD
  • 6J. St. JusteD
  • 35Mika MàrmolD
  • 28O. TarghallineM
  • 8G. ZechiëlM
  • 34C. VanhoutteM
  • 27G. DiarraF
  • 19Nacho FerriF
  • 10L. ValenteF
Substitutes
  • 39L. BossinG
  • 20M. DeijlD
  • 33F. KastenmeierG
  • 24T. KraaijeveldM
  • 16Javi LópezD
  • 14S. SteijnM
  • 22T. van den ElshoutM
  • 11Gonçalo BorgesF
  • 57Jerayno SchakenM
Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Form going into NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord

NEC Nijmegen

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1away to PEC Zwolle29 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Bodo/Glimt25 August 2026
  • L1-3Bodo/Glimt19 August 2026
  • W4-1away to Willem II15 August 2026
  • W2-1Olympiakos Piraeus11 August 2026

Feyenoord

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2ADO Den Haag30 August 2026
  • W5-2away to Cambuur23 August 2026
  • D2-2GO Ahead Eagles16 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Sparta Rotterdam9 August 2026

What these results say

  • NEC Nijmegen conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for NEC Nijmegen had three goals or more.
  • NEC Nijmegen scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Feyenoord went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Feyenoord scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Feyenoord conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11NEC Nijmegen123542021-114
2Feyenoord127413617+1925

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord

  • 12 April 2026NEC Nijmegen 1–1 FeyenoordEredivisie
  • 23 November 2025Feyenoord 2–4 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
  • 1 March 2025Feyenoord 0–0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
  • 28 September 2024NEC Nijmegen 1–1 FeyenoordEredivisie
  • 12 May 2024NEC Nijmegen 2–3 FeyenoordEredivisie

The full NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord record →

Leading scorers: NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord

NEC Nijmegen

No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.

Feyenoord

GoalsAssists

  • A. Hadj-Moussa72
  • Nacho Ferri63
  • G. Zechiël54

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Feyenoord won 3–1 at NEC Nijmegen. The model had leaned towards a win for NEC Nijmegen at 38% and given a win for Feyenoord 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Gjivai Zechiel 52' for Feyenoord, Darko Nejašmić 55' for NEC Nijmegen, Luciano Valente 61' for Feyenoord, Jerayno Schaken 64' for Feyenoord.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.