Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Colorado Rapids 1-0 Real Salt Lake.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Colorado Rapids, 25% draw, 23% Real Salt Lake — fair odds of 1.92, 4.00 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Colorado Rapids at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 4R. CannonD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 5L. WilliamsD
- 29M. NavarroD
- 8H. OjediranM
- 13W. FrederickM
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 88Y. MazizM
- 93G. MinoungouM
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 61B. DowdG
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 24N. CobbD
- 12J. AtencioM
- 49N. TchoumbaM
- 77D. YapiF
- 16A. HarrisF
- 32D. PhillipF
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 3K. HenryD
- 21J. J. AriasD
- 29S. JunquaD
- 2D. YedlinM
- 7P. RuizM
- 92N. CaliskanM
- 98A. KatranisM
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 22S. SolansF
- 9M. GuilavoguiF
- 31M. StajduharG
- 4L. EngelD
- 10D. LunaM
- 25C. GuskeM
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 34L. MoisaM
- 12S. LobjanidzeM
- 11D. MarczukF
- 70Lineker RodriguesF
Form going into Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to San Diego23 August 2026
- W1-0Los Angeles FC20 August 2026
- W2-0Sporting Kansas City16 August 2026
- W1-0Austin2 August 2026
- L0-1away to St. Louis City26 July 2026
Real Salt Lake
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Orlando City SC22 August 2026
- L3-4FC Dallas20 August 2026
- D1-1Minnesota United FC16 August 2026
- D1-1away to St. Louis City2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Portland Timbers26 July 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Colorado Rapids had two goals or fewer.
- Real Salt Lake did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Real Salt Lake scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Real Salt Lake conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake
- 17 May 2026Real Salt Lake 2–1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 5 October 2025Real Salt Lake 1–0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 18 May 2025Colorado Rapids 1–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 21 July 2024Colorado Rapids 3–2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- 19 May 2024Real Salt Lake 5–3 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 10 March 2024Real Salt Lake 1–2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Colorado Rapids and Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 47 league goals as a side.
Real Salt Lake
GoalsAssists
- S. Solans154
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Colorado Rapids beat Real Salt Lake 1–0. The model had made a win for Colorado Rapids its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: R. Cannon 58' for Colorado Rapids. On expected goals it finished 1.59–0.14.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.