St Johnstone vs Hibernian Premiership prediction & result
Final score: St Johnstone 2-1 Hibernian.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% St Johnstone, 28% draw, 30% Hibernian — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
St Johnstone at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — St Johnstone vs Hibernian
Line-ups
- 1T. StewardG
- 33L. SmithD
- 5Z. MitchellD
- 3C. DiabateD
- 2E. AlıçD
- 11S. StantonM
- 42R. McAlearM
- 8J. HoltM
- 7T. StevenF
- 9J. FowlerF
- 10J. GullanF
- 4M. BoyesD
- 30Joel CotterillM
- 18K. FotheringhamF
- 14M. FouldsD
- 99R. PatonF
- 22D. SchmidtF
- 20R. SinclairG
- 25M. TaitM
- 26M. ToddM
- 1R. SallingerG
- 25F. PasslackD
- 6J. KerrD
- 4G. HanleyD
- 3A. MayorD
- 24J. DevaneyM
- 10M. BoyleM
- 8J. MulliganM
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 17J. McGrathM
- 9N. LoweF
- 11J. NewellM
- 13J. SmithG
- 22A. ŠutoF
- 12Alex WilliamsD
- 23C. WrightM
- 27K. MegwaD
- 18T. KlidjeF
- 19N. CaddenM
- 49A. AbdulaiM
Form going into St Johnstone vs Hibernian
St Johnstone
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Dundee2 September 2026
- L1-2away to Heart of Midlothian29 August 2026
- L0-1away to St Mirren8 August 2026
- W4-3Kilmarnock2 August 2026
Hibernian
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Heart of Midlothian3 September 2026
- W2-1away to Dundee30 August 2026
- L2-3Gent27 August 2026
- D0-0away to Gent20 August 2026
- D0-0away to Shkendija13 August 2026
What these results say
- St Johnstone conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- St Johnstone failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- St Johnstone scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Hibernian failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | St Johnstone | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: St Johnstone vs Hibernian
- 29 March 2025Hibernian 3–0 St JohnstonePremiership
- 2 January 2025St Johnstone 1–1 HibernianPremiership
- 14 September 2024Hibernian 2–0 St JohnstonePremiership
- 27 April 2024St Johnstone 1–3 HibernianPremiership
- 6 April 2024Hibernian 1–2 St JohnstonePremiership
Leading scorers: St Johnstone and Hibernian
St Johnstone
GoalsAssists
- J. Fowler61
Hibernian
GoalsAssists
- C. Wright31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
St Johnstone beat Hibernian 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for St Johnstone at 42%. The goals: Josh Fowler 17' for St Johnstone, Nathan Lowe 29' for Hibernian, Josh Fowler (penalty) 41' for St Johnstone.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.