5 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

St Mirren vs Celtic Premiership prediction & result

The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
Full time1 – 2

Final score: St Mirren 1-2 Celtic.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% St Mirren, 29% draw, 37% Celtic — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Celtic at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

St Mirren0%Draw4%Celtic96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
Colby Donovan
⚽Nikolas Agrafiotis (pen)
22'
31'
•Camilo Duran
Calvin Ramsay
37'
51'
⚽Liam Scalesassist: Benjamin Nygren
🔁Fraser Taylorout: Samuel Antonio Ramos Linares
62'
68'
⚽Yang Hyun-Junassist: Camilo Duran
🔁Nikolas Agrafiotisout: Eseosa Sule
68'
🔁Chris Mochrieout: Luke Thomas
69'
72'
🔁Haissem Hassanout: James Forrest
73'
🔁Mika Baurout: Oliver Sorensen
73'
🔁Yang Hyun-Junout: Sebastian Tounekti
83'
🔁Camilo Duranout: Shumaira Mheuka
🔁Ryan Carrout: Jake Young
83'
87'
🔁Colby Donovanout: Dane Murray
90+5'
•Shumaira Mheuka
Eseosa Sule
90+6'
Paul Nsio
90+7'
Samuel Antonio Ramos Linares
90+7'

Match stats — St Mirren vs Celtic

40%Possession60%
19Shots23
6On target8
6Corners10

Line-ups

St Mirren 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. ChapmanG
  • 47C. RamsayD
  • 13A. GogićD
  • 53Henry FieldsonD
  • 3D. JohnD
  • 8R. CarrM
  • 48P. NsioM
  • 23C. MochrieM
  • 30F. TaylorM
  • 19Ismeal KabiaM
  • 25N. AgrafiotisF
Substitutes
  • 16L. ThomasM
  • 9Eseosa SuleF
  • 2J. RichardsonD
  • 10SamuM
  • 31R. MullenG
  • 37C. McEvoyM
  • 6Louis JacksonD
  • 20J. YoungF
  • 24J. FarquharF
Coach: Craig McLeish
Celtic 4-2-3-1
  • 1V. SinisaloG
  • 51Colby DonovanD
  • 20C. Carter-VickersD
  • 6A. TrustyD
  • 5L. ScalesD
  • 42C. McGregorM
  • 22M. BaurM
  • 23H. HassanM
  • 8B. NygrenM
  • 13Yang Hyun-JunM
  • 11C. DuránF
Substitutes
  • 35J. van den BergM
  • 17S. TounektiF
  • 18O. SørensenM
  • 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
  • 47D. MurrayD
  • 29Shumaira MheukaF
  • 3J. LotombaD
  • 26S. JohnstoneG
  • 49J. ForrestM
Coach: M. O'Neill

Form going into St Mirren vs Celtic

St Mirren

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to Kilmarnock2 September 2026
  • D3-3Motherwell30 August 2026
  • W1-0St Johnstone8 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Falkirk1 August 2026

Celtic

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Aberdeen2 September 2026
  • W2-1Falkirk29 August 2026
  • L1-5away to Lask Linz25 August 2026
  • W3-0Lask Linz19 August 2026
  • W5-1away to Kilmarnock9 August 2026

What these results say

  • St Mirren went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • St Mirren scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • St Mirren won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Celtic scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Celtic had three goals or more.
  • Celtic won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8St Mirren134271222-1014
1Celtic1310122810+1831

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: St Mirren vs Celtic

  • 19 April 2026Celtic 6–2 St MirrenFA Cup
  • 11 April 2026Celtic 1–0 St MirrenPremiership
  • 14 December 2025St Mirren 3–1 CelticLeague Cup
  • 22 November 2025St Mirren 0–1 CelticPremiership
  • 3 August 2025Celtic 1–0 St MirrenPremiership

Leading scorers: St Mirren and Celtic

St Mirren

No player in Premiership's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Celtic

GoalsAssists

  • C. Durán76
  • B. Nygren64
  • K. Høgh33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Celtic won 2–1 at St Mirren. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Celtic at 37%. The goals: Nikolas Agrafiotis (penalty) 22' for St Mirren, Liam Scales 51' for Celtic, Yang Hyun-Jun 68' for Celtic.

How the call on St Mirren v Celtic has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 36% / 29% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 34% / 29% / 37%: the biggest move is St Mirren's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. St Mirren win34%▼ −2
  2. Draw29%=
  3. Celtic win37%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.