5 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905 Czech Liga prediction & result

Andruv stadion, Olomouc
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Sigma Olomouc 3-0 Bohemians 1905.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Sigma Olomouc, 29% draw, 30% Bohemians 1905 — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sigma Olomouc at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sigma Olomouc99%Draw1%Bohemians 19050%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽P. Barathassist: A. Ghali
8'
⚽V. Sejkassist: A. Sylla
20'
39'
Roman Kvet
46'
🔁M. Havelout: P. Mirvald
46'
🔁V. Smrzout: S. Cerny
46'
🔁V. Pilarout: J. Matousek
63'
🔁L. Almasiout: L. Krobot
🔁M. Hadasout: A. Ekeroth
64'
🔁F. Krivakout: M. Soldo
64'
🔁D. Janosekout: D. Tkac
65'
🔁V. Sejkout: J. Kliment
76'
76'
🔁A. Cermakout: V. Zeman
⚽M. Soldoassist: P. Barath
81'
🔁A. Ghaliout: J. Sip
86'

Match stats — Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905

54%Possession46%
11Shots9
7On target3
5Corners1
1.78xG0.42

Goals against chances

Sigma Olomouc3 from 1.78 xGmore than the chances were worth
Bohemians 19050 from 0.42 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sigma Olomouc 3-4-3
  • 91J. KoutnyG
  • 2A. SyllaD
  • 33M. MalyD
  • 3L. LurvinkD
  • 22M. HadasM
  • 88P. BarathM
  • 7M. BeranM
  • 70A. GhaliM
  • 23F. KrivakF
  • 10V. SejkF
  • 39D. JanosekF
Substitutes
  • 98M. HruskaG
  • 26S. NoumbissieD
  • 29A. EkerothD
  • 14M. SoldoM
  • 8J. SpacilM
  • 24D. TkacM
  • 9J. KlimentF
  • 11H. MikaelssonF
  • 17J. DembeF
Coach: Pavel Hapal
Bohemians 1905 3-4-1-2
  • 23T. FruhwaldG
  • 24M. HavelD
  • 27D. LischkaD
  • 3M. KadlecD
  • 25P. Kareem
  • 47A. CermakM
  • 42V. SmrzM
  • 37D. JavorcekM
  • 16R. KvetF
  • 99L. AlmasiF
  • 11V. PilarF
Substitutes
  • 12M. ReichlG
  • 22J. VondraD
  • 8D. HeidenreichD
  • 18D. ValaD
  • 32P. MirvaldD
  • 15M. BandaD
  • 19J. KovarikM
  • 13V. ZemanF
  • 70S. Cerny
Coach: Jaroslav Vesely

Form going into Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905

Sigma Olomouc

  • L0-1away to Baník Ostrava29 August 2026
  • W3-1Pardubice23 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Slovácko15 August 2026

Bohemians 1905

  • D1-1FK Jablonec2 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Slavia Praha22 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Zlin8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Sigma Olomouc85121610+616
11Bohemians 1905723289-19

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905

  • 5 September 2026Sigma Olomouc 3–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
  • 10 May 2026Sigma Olomouc 1–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
  • 2 May 2026Bohemians 1905 1–3 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 1 March 2026Sigma Olomouc 1–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
  • 27 September 2025Bohemians 1905 2–2 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 9 March 2025Bohemians 1905 0–1 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Sigma Olomouc and Bohemians 1905

Sigma Olomouc

  • V. Sejk3 goals2 assists
  • A. Ghali3 goals1 assists
  • P. Baráth3 goals1 assists

Bohemians 1905

  • L. Almási3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.