30 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Start vs KFUM Oslo Eliteserien prediction & result

Kristiansand
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Start 4-1 KFUM Oslo.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Start, 28% draw, 28% KFUM Oslo — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Start at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Start99%Draw1%KFUM Oslo0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. Ujkani
3'
Deni Dashaev
23'
26'
•Brage Skaret
27'
⚽B. Njie (pen)
30'
Daniel Schneider
Jesper Cornelius
37'
39'
Jacob Blixt Flaten
⚽E. Reitan
44'
Erlend Dahl Reitan
46'
46'
Bilal Njie
46'
🔁B. Skaretout: F. Berglie
46'
🔁J. Flatenout: T. Soras
Altin Ujkani
52'
🔁N. Koutsakosout: H. Lorentzen
61'
🔁E. Schulzeout: M. Ugland
61'
62'
🔁J. Hjorthout: S. Sjokvist
62'
🔁J. Gonstadout: B. Kristensen
🔁E. Reitanout: J. Meyer
67'
73'
🔁out: D. Hickson
⚽H. Lorentzenassist: E. Segberg
81'
🔁O. Toureout: F. Palerud
84'
🔁S. Mvoueout: S. Samuyiwa
84'
90+2'
Daniel Schneider
90+2'
Daniel Schneider
⚽D. Dashaevassist: J. Cornelius
90'

Match stats — Start vs KFUM Oslo

44%Possession56%
19Shots9
7On target1
6Corners7
3.43xG1.65

Goals against chances

Start4 from 3.43 xGmore than the chances were worth
KFUM Oslo1 from 1.65 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Start 3-5-2
  • 45F. ManojlovicG
  • 29E. ReitanD
  • 28J. HuseboD
  • 3A. UjkaniD
  • 27O. ToureM
  • 10S. MvoueM
  • 23E. SegbergM
  • 11E. SchulzeM
  • 12D. DashaevM
  • 17J. CorneliusF
  • 9N. KoutsakosF
Substitutes
  • 24S. Strand-KolbjornsenG
  • 38J. EngenesD
  • 2F. PalerudD
  • 4J. MeyerD
  • 13S. GriesbeckM
  • 20H. LorentzenF
  • 18M. UglandM
  • 8N. JojicF
  • 35S. SamuyiwaM
Coach: Azar Karadas
KFUM Oslo 3-4-3
  • 25H. JenssenG
  • 24H. RostenD
  • 13B. SkaretD
  • 2D. SchneiderD
  • 14H. HosethM
  • 9M. VinjorM
  • 6J. FlatenM
  • 16J. HjorthM
  • 18R. E. VingeF
  • 17J. GonstadF
  • 10B. NjieF
Substitutes
  • 1E. OdegaardG
  • 5F. BerglieD
  • 42D. HicksonF
  • 4M. NjieD
  • 27T. SorasM
  • 19E. SaunesD
  • 21S. SjokvistD
  • 22B. KristensenF
  • 29I. SkovsgaardF
Coach: Jorgen Isnes

Form going into Start vs KFUM Oslo

Start

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Fredrikstad8 August 2026
  • L0-3Viking1 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Kristiansund BK25 July 2026
  • L0-3Rosenborg18 July 2026

KFUM Oslo

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Lillestrom15 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Sandefjord7 August 2026
  • W2-1Kristiansund BK2 August 2026
  • L2-4Molde26 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Lillestrom18 July 2026

What these results say

  • Start conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Start failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Start failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • KFUM Oslo scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • KFUM Oslo conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for KFUM Oslo.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Start2654172759-3219
10KFUM Oslo2687113346-1331

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Start vs KFUM Oslo

  • 15 March 2026KFUM Oslo 2–0 StartEliteserien
  • 12 November 2023Start 1–1 KFUM Oslo1. Division
  • 3 May 2023KFUM Oslo 2–2 Start1. Division
  • 16 February 2023Start 5–4 KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs
  • 16 February 2023KFUM Oslo 4–5 StartFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Start and KFUM Oslo

Start

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 27 league goals as a side.

KFUM Oslo

GoalsAssists

  • B. Njie83

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Start beat KFUM Oslo 4–1. The model had made a win for Start its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: A. Ujkani 3' for Start, B. Njie (penalty) 27' for KFUM Oslo, E. Reitan 44' for Start, H. Lorentzen 81' for Start, D. Dashaev 90' for Start. Sent off: Daniel Schneider (KFUM Oslo) 90+2'. On expected goals it finished 3.43–1.65.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.