30 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Start vs KFUM Oslo Eliteserien prediction & result

Kristiansand
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Start 4-1 KFUM Oslo.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Start, 28% draw, 28% KFUM Oslo — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Start at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Start99%Draw1%KFUM Oslo0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. Ujkani
3'
Deni Dashaev
23'
26'
•Brage Skaret
27'
⚽B. Njie (pen)
30'
Daniel Schneider
Jesper Cornelius
37'
39'
Jacob Blixt Flaten
⚽E. Reitan
44'
Erlend Dahl Reitan
46'
46'
Bilal Njie
46'
🔁B. Skaretout: F. Berglie
46'
🔁J. Flatenout: T. Soras
Altin Ujkani
52'
🔁N. Koutsakosout: H. Lorentzen
61'
🔁E. Schulzeout: M. Ugland
61'
62'
🔁J. Hjorthout: S. Sjokvist
62'
🔁J. Gonstadout: B. Kristensen
🔁E. Reitanout: J. Meyer
67'
73'
🔁out: D. Hickson
⚽H. Lorentzenassist: E. Segberg
81'
🔁O. Toureout: F. Palerud
84'
🔁S. Mvoueout: S. Samuyiwa
84'
90+2'
Daniel Schneider
90+2'
Daniel Schneider
⚽D. Dashaevassist: J. Cornelius
90'

Match stats — Start vs KFUM Oslo

44%Possession56%
19Shots9
7On target1
6Corners7
3.43xG1.65

Goals against chances

Start4 from 3.43 xGmore than the chances were worth
KFUM Oslo1 from 1.65 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Start 3-5-2
  • 45F. ManojlovicG
  • 29E. ReitanD
  • 28J. HuseboD
  • 3A. UjkaniD
  • 27O. ToureM
  • 10S. MvoueM
  • 23E. SegbergM
  • 11E. SchulzeM
  • 12D. DashaevM
  • 17J. CorneliusF
  • 9N. KoutsakosF
Substitutes
  • 24S. Strand-KolbjornsenG
  • 38J. EngenesD
  • 2F. PalerudD
  • 4J. MeyerD
  • 13S. GriesbeckM
  • 20H. LorentzenF
  • 18M. UglandM
  • 8N. JojicF
  • 35S. SamuyiwaM
Coach: Azar Karadas
KFUM Oslo 3-4-3
  • 25H. JenssenG
  • 24H. RostenD
  • 13B. SkaretD
  • 2D. SchneiderD
  • 14H. HosethM
  • 9M. VinjorM
  • 6J. FlatenM
  • 16J. HjorthM
  • 18R. E. VingeF
  • 17J. GonstadF
  • 10B. NjieF
Substitutes
  • 1E. OdegaardG
  • 5F. BerglieD
  • 42D. HicksonF
  • 4M. NjieD
  • 27T. SorasM
  • 19E. SaunesD
  • 21S. SjokvistD
  • 22B. KristensenF
  • 29I. SkovsgaardF
Coach: Jorgen Isnes

Form going into Start vs KFUM Oslo

Start

  • L0-1Fredrikstad8 August 2026
  • L0-3Viking1 August 2026

KFUM Oslo

  • D1-1Lillestrom15 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Sandefjord7 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Start2044122241-1916
12KFUM Oslo2064102234-1222

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Start vs KFUM Oslo

  • 30 August 2026Start 4–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien
  • 15 March 2026KFUM Oslo 2–0 StartEliteserien
  • 12 November 2023Start 1–1 KFUM Oslo1. Division
  • 3 May 2023KFUM Oslo 2–2 Start1. Division
  • 16 February 2023Start 5–4 KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs
  • 16 February 2023KFUM Oslo 4–5 StartFriendlies Clubs
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.