30 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK Eliteserien prediction & result

Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Ham-Kam 2-2 Kristiansund BK.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Ham-Kam, 30% draw, 29% Kristiansund BK — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ham-Kam at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ham-Kam4%Draw93%Kristiansund BK3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁A. Poturout: M. Johnsgard
20'
46'
🔁T. Svendsenout: A. Ronning
49'
⚽S. Svendsenassist: A. Ronning
⚽B. Isufiassist: P. Metcalfe
51'
Blerton Isufi
60'
62'
⚽L. Alvheimassist: Z. Bytyqi
65'
🔁J. Kitolanoout: H. Haugen
🔁D. Moreiraout: H. Udahl
68'
🔁B. Isufiout: D. Al Saed
68'
🔁V. Jonssonout: A. Andresen
69'
69'
🔁Z. Bytyqiout: G. Christensen
70'
Syver Skundberg Skeide
⚽D. Al Saedassist: M. Johnsgard
73'
Luc Mares
76'
🔁F. Sjolstadout: H. Opsahl
80'
82'
🔁S. Skeideout: D. Tufekcic
•Henrik Udahl
90+1'

Match stats — Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK

58%Possession42%
12Shots19
5On target5
9Corners4
0.71xG1.13

Goals against chances

Ham-Kam2 from 0.71 xGmore than the chances were worth
Kristiansund BK2 from 1.13 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ham-Kam 5-3-2
  • 12M. SandbergG
  • 26P. MetcalfeD
  • 22S. NilsenD
  • 23F. SjolstadD
  • 3E. Amundsen-DayD
  • 7V. JonssonD
  • 17A. PoturM
  • 14L. MaresM
  • 16A. TrondsenM
  • 18D. MoreiraF
  • 29B. IsufiF
Substitutes
  • 13S. OstraatG
  • 4H. OpsahlD
  • 5A. AndresenD
  • 10L. MettlerM
  • 8M. JohnsgardM
  • 6W. Osnes-RingenM
  • 28D. BenjaminF
  • 19H. UdahlF
  • 24D. Al SaedF
Coach: Thomas Myhre
Kristiansund BK 4-3-3
  • 1M. LansingG
  • 25J. KitolanoD
  • 4J. JuliussonD
  • 5D. UlvestadD
  • 6J. IsaksenD
  • 10H. BrusethM
  • 14S. SkeideM
  • 7S. SvendsenM
  • 23T. SvendsenF
  • 19L. AlvheimF
  • 11Z. BytyqiF
Substitutes
  • 12A. SaetherG
  • 22H. HaugenD
  • 17M. WilliamsenD
  • 2A. BorsetD
  • 3F. FlexD
  • 27A. RonningF
  • 24G. ChristensenF
  • 16D. TufekcicM
Coach: Amund Skiri

Form going into Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK

Ham-Kam

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to Brann16 August 2026
  • D1-1Aalesund9 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Valerenga31 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Sarpsborg 08 FF26 July 2026
  • L0-3away to Bodo/Glimt22 July 2026

Kristiansund BK

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Fredrikstad16 August 2026
  • W2-1Molde9 August 2026
  • L1-2away to KFUM Oslo2 August 2026
  • L1-2Start25 July 2026
  • D0-0Sarpsborg 08 FF18 July 2026

What these results say

  • Ham-Kam failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Ham-Kam conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Kristiansund BK failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Kristiansund BK conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Ham-Kam2686123853-1530
14Kristiansund BK2675143051-2126

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK

  • 3 May 2026Kristiansund BK 1–1 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 18 February 2026Kristiansund BK 2–1 Ham-KamFriendlies Clubs
  • 26 October 2025Kristiansund BK 1–3 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 30 March 2025Ham-Kam 2–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
  • 27 October 2024Ham-Kam 1–0 Kristiansund BKEliteserien

Leading scorers: Ham-Kam and Kristiansund BK

Ham-Kam

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 38 league goals as a side.

Kristiansund BK

GoalsAssists

  • L. Alvheim120

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ham-Kam and Kristiansund BK drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Ham-Kam at 41% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: S. Svendsen 49' for Kristiansund BK, B. Isufi 51' for Ham-Kam, L. Alvheim 62' for Kristiansund BK, D. Al Saed 73' for Ham-Kam. On expected goals it finished 0.71–1.13.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.