Sandefjord vs Brann Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Sandefjord 0-0 Brann.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Sandefjord, 29% draw, 38% Brann — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Brann at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sandefjord vs Brann
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30E. HadayaG
- 4F. PedersenD
- 16H. KrogelienD
- 8T. BorkeeietD
- 44X. LambrixD
- 3V. EgeliD
- 7E. PatoulidisM
- 14E. PettersenM
- 6S. MorkM
- 27J. DunsbyM
- 9O. KapskarmoF
- 1A. GronnebergG
- 2M. HellanD
- 13R. HoltenD
- 5G. HojbjergD
- 10E. GigovicM
- 18M. SauerM
- 24S. MathisenF
- 17F. ApetorgborF
- 19B. BerntsenF
- 1M. DyngelandG
- 21N. KasanwirjoD
- 3F. KnudsenD
- 20V. DragsnesD
- 17J. SoltvedtD
- 23T. PedersenM
- 18J. SorensenM
- 19E. GudmundssonM
- 16K. EriksenF
- 29N. HolmF
- 9N. CastroF
- 12S. NilsenG
- 2L. CornicD
- 14U. MathisenM
- 43B. HaugenM
- 10K. M. IngasonF
- 11B. FinneF
- 7K. KjartanssonM
- 39J. LaegreidF
Form going into Sandefjord vs Brann
Sandefjord
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Sarpsborg 08 FF16 August 2026
- L0-1KFUM Oslo7 August 2026
- L0-1away to Fredrikstad1 August 2026
- L0-3Bodo/Glimt26 July 2026
- L1-2away to Viking18 July 2026
Brann
All competitions we cover
- W3-2PAOK27 August 2026
- D1-1away to PAOK20 August 2026
- W3-0Ham-Kam16 August 2026
- W4-2away to Apollon Limassol11 August 2026
- L0-1Apollon Limassol5 August 2026
What these results say
- Sandefjord conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Sandefjord failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Brann scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Brann conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sandefjord | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Brann | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 47 | 44 | +3 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sandefjord vs Brann
- 12 April 2026Brann 0–1 SandefjordEliteserien
- 20 September 2025Sandefjord 0–3 BrannEliteserien
- 30 June 2025Brann 1–0 SandefjordEliteserien
- 15 September 2024Sandefjord 2–2 BrannEliteserien
- 16 May 2024Brann 2–1 SandefjordEliteserien
Leading scorers: Sandefjord and Brann
Sandefjord
GoalsAssists
- E. Patoulidis83
Brann
GoalsAssists
- N. Holm83
- K. Ingason83
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sandefjord and Brann drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Brann at 38% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.97–0.74.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.