30 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Sandefjord vs Brann Eliteserien prediction & result

Jotun Arena, Sandefjord
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Sandefjord 0-0 Brann.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Sandefjord, 29% draw, 38% Brann — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Brann at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sandefjord4%Draw92%Brann4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
T. Pedersen
X. Lambrix
58'
61'
🔁N. Kasanwirjoout: L. Cornic
61'
🔁T. Pedersenout: U. Mathisen
66'
🔁E. Gudmundssonout: K. Kjartansson
🔁O. Kapskarmoout: S. Mathisen
75'
🔁J. Dunsbyout: F. Apetorgbor
75'
🔁E. Patoulidisout: B. Berntsen
75'
🔁V. Egeliout: M. Hellan
83'
85'
🔁N. Holmout: B. Finne
T. Borkeeiet
88'
89'
N. Castro
90+2'
K. Kjartansson

Match stats — Sandefjord vs Brann

47%Possession53%
20Shots13
5On target4
5Corners3
0.97xG0.74

Goals against chances

Sandefjord0 from 0.97 xGless than the chances were worth
Brann0 from 0.74 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sandefjord 5-4-1
  • 30E. HadayaG
  • 4F. PedersenD
  • 16H. KrogelienD
  • 8T. BorkeeietD
  • 44X. LambrixD
  • 3V. EgeliD
  • 7E. PatoulidisM
  • 14E. PettersenM
  • 6S. MorkM
  • 27J. DunsbyM
  • 9O. KapskarmoF
Substitutes
  • 1A. GronnebergG
  • 2M. HellanD
  • 13R. HoltenD
  • 5G. HojbjergD
  • 10E. GigovicM
  • 18M. SauerM
  • 24S. MathisenF
  • 17F. ApetorgborF
  • 19B. BerntsenF
Coach: Andreas Tegstrom
Brann 4-3-3
  • 1M. DyngelandG
  • 21N. KasanwirjoD
  • 3F. KnudsenD
  • 20V. DragsnesD
  • 17J. SoltvedtD
  • 23T. PedersenM
  • 18J. SorensenM
  • 19E. GudmundssonM
  • 16K. EriksenF
  • 29N. HolmF
  • 9N. CastroF
Substitutes
  • 12S. NilsenG
  • 2L. CornicD
  • 14U. MathisenM
  • 43B. HaugenM
  • 10K. M. IngasonF
  • 11B. FinneF
  • 7K. KjartanssonM
  • 39J. LaegreidF
Coach: Eirik Horneland

Form going into Sandefjord vs Brann

Sandefjord

  • W2-1away to Sarpsborg 08 FF16 August 2026
  • L0-1KFUM Oslo7 August 2026

Brann

  • W3-0Ham-Kam16 August 2026
  • W3-2Rosenborg2 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Sandefjord2055101827-920
8Brann2082103731+626

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sandefjord vs Brann

  • 30 August 2026Sandefjord 0–0 BrannEliteserien
  • 12 April 2026Brann 0–1 SandefjordEliteserien
  • 20 September 2025Sandefjord 0–3 BrannEliteserien
  • 30 June 2025Brann 1–0 SandefjordEliteserien
  • 15 September 2024Sandefjord 2–2 BrannEliteserien
  • 16 May 2024Brann 2–1 SandefjordEliteserien

Leading scorers: Sandefjord and Brann

Sandefjord

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.

Brann

  • N. Holm6 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.