Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Talleres Cordoba 0-3 Lanus.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Talleres Cordoba, 32% draw, 31% Lanus — fair odds of 2.70, 3.13 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Talleres Cordoba at 37% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 32Ezequiel UnsaínG
- 20Augusto SchottD
- 6Román RiquelmeD
- 44Santiago FernandezD
- 2Timoteo ChamorroM
- 8Federico FattoriM
- 5Matias GalarzaM
- 3Alexandro MaidanaM
- 19Franco CristaldoF
- 77Ronaldo MartinezF
- 37RickF
- 10Giovanni BaroniM
- 49Valentin DavilaF
- 11Valentin DepietriF
- 1Santino BarbiG
- 13Valentín FascendiniD
- 23Gabriel BáezD
- 35Gonzalo NuccioD
- 25Thiago BaroniM
- 39Lautaro OrtizM
- 26Nahuel LosadaG
- 33Tomás GuidaraD
- 24Carlos IzquierdozD
- 35Ronaldo De JesusD
- 6Sasha MarcichD
- 30Agustín CardozoM
- 5Felipe Peña BiaforeM
- 11Eduardo SalvioM
- 23Ramiro CarreraM
- 25Dylan AquinoM
- 20Allan WlkF
- 16Matías SepúlvedaM
- 19Yoshan ValoisF
- 8Franco WatsonM
- 77Lucas BesozziF
- 4Gonzalo PerezD
- 1Franco PetroliG
- 2Luciano RomeroD
- 3Nicolás MorgantiniD
- 27Facundo SánchezD
Form going into Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus
Talleres Cordoba
- W4-0away to Platense3 August 2026
- L1-3Velez Sarsfield30 July 2026
- L0-1away to Newell's Old Boys25 July 2026
Lanus
- L1-2away to Union Santa Fe6 August 2026
- L0-1Instituto Cordoba3 August 2026
- W1-0San Lorenzo26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 7 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus
- 12 August 2026Talleres Cordoba 0–3 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 February 2026Lanus 1–1 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 August 2025Lanus 1–0 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 10 February 2025Talleres Cordoba 0–1 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 7 November 2024Talleres Cordoba 1–2 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24 June 2023Lanus 2–1 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Talleres Cordoba and Lanus
Talleres Cordoba
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Lanus
- D. Aquino6 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.