Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban Super League prediction & result
Final score: Chengdu Better City 2-1 Shenyang Urban.
Before kick-off the model made it 78% Chengdu Better City, 13% draw, 9% Shenyang Urban — fair odds of 1.28, 7.69 and 11.11.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Chengdu Better City at 78%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 32Liu DianzuoG
- 4He YiranD
- 18Han PengfeiD
- 22Y. LiD
- 2H. HuD
- 16Yang Ming-YangM
- 5Matheus JussaM
- 11Wellington SilvaM
- 20Wang ZimingM
- 7Wei ShihaoM
- 9Felipe SilvaF
- 1Jian TaoG
- 28E. SorokinD
- 19Y. DongD
- 3A. C. JojoD
- 17Wang DongshengD
- 25Muzepper MurahmetjanM
- 23Liao LishengM
- 10RomuloM
- 39Gan ChaoM
- 29Zhang YanG
- 34H. ZhangD
- 26Yuan MinchengD
- 15FelipeD
- 5D. MawlanniyazM
- 18Li TixiangM
- 8Yan DinghaoM
- 35Li HaoranM
- 10T. KunimotoF
- 47JeffinhoF
- 7A. KouameF
- 13J. XieG
- 28Xu DongD
- 3Pan XimingD
- 27Gao JiarunD
- 33Tian YinongM
- 36Tian DeaoM
- 30Pang ShenghanD
- 22G. LiuF
- 17Tian YudaF
Form going into Chengdu Better City vs Shenyang Urban
Chengdu Better City
All competitions we cover
- L4-5Shanghai Shenhua22 August 2026
- W3-2away to Hangzhou Greentown15 August 2026
- L0-1away to Yunnan Yukun8 August 2026
Shenyang Urban
All competitions we cover
- D4-4Henan Jianye23 August 2026
- L1-2Sichuan Jiuniu15 August 2026
- L0-1away to Dalian Zhixing8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chengdu Better City | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 53 | 38 | +15 | 52 |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Chengdu Better City and Shenyang Urban
Chengdu Better City
GoalsAssists
- Felipe183
- Wellington Silva106
Shenyang Urban
GoalsAssists
- Jeffinho122
- G. Mbenza111
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Chengdu Better City beat Shenyang Urban 2–1. The model had made a win for Chengdu Better City its most likely outcome, at 78%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–1. The goals: Felipe Silva 26' for Chengdu Better City, Wellington Silva 46' for Chengdu Better City, Jeffinho 72' for Shenyang Urban. On expected goals it finished 3.09–0.69.