CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Premier League prediction & result
Final score: CSKA Moscow 3-2 Lokomotiv.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% CSKA Moscow, 23% draw, 15% Lokomotiv — fair odds of 1.61, 4.35 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CSKA Moscow at 62% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
- W1-0Fakel15 August 2026
Lokomotiv
- D1-1away to FC Orenburg14 August 2026
- D0-0Akron8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 16 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv
- 4 August 2026Lokomotiv 1–1 CSKA MoscowCup
- 14 July 2026Lokomotiv 1–0 CSKA MoscowFriendlies Clubs
- 17 May 2026CSKA Moscow 3–1 LokomotivPremier League
- 21 February 2026CSKA Moscow 3–2 LokomotivFriendlies Clubs
- 18 October 2025Lokomotiv 3–0 CSKA MoscowPremier League
- 1 October 2025Lokomotiv 0–0 CSKA MoscowCup
Leading scorers: CSKA Moscow and Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
- I. Oblyakov4 goals
- L. Gondou2 goals1 assists
Lokomotiv
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.