8 August 2026, 12:30 UTC

Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika Premier League prediction & result

Samara Arena, Samara
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Krylia Sovetov 0-2 Baltika.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Krylia Sovetov, 30% draw, 38% Baltika — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Baltika at 38% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Krylia Sovetov0%Draw1%Baltika99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽E. Civicassist: A. Mourid
🔁M. Banjacout: M. Kramaric
46'
54'
🔁E. Civicout: F. Moufi
54'
🔁C. Offorout: B. Gil
🔁A. Rahmanovicout: D. Makarov
63'
🔁M. Vityugovout: C. Geoffrey
63'
Denis Makarov
65'
70'
🔁N. Titkovout: V. Pospelov
70'
🔁A. Mendelout: I. Belikov
81'
⚽B. Gilassist: S. Varatynov
🔁N. Rasskazovout: D. Fernandez
82'
🔁I. Oleynikovout: V. Shitov
82'
88'
🔁M. Petrovout: K. Shiltsov

Match stats — Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika

67%Possession33%
6Shots13
2On target5
2Corners5

Line-ups

Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
  • 30S. PesjakovG
  • 22Fernando CostanzaD
  • 5D. OrozD
  • 47S. BozhinD
  • 2K. PecheninD
  • 6S. BabkinM
  • 8M. VityugovM
  • 15N. RasskazovM
  • 7M. BanjacM
  • 19I. OleynikovM
  • 11A. RahmanovicF
Substitutes
  • 80N. KokarevG
  • 39E. FrolovG
  • 10M. KramaricM
  • 72D. FernandezD
  • 26J. MarinM
  • 77D. MakarovM
  • 20K. StolbovM
  • 18I. LepskiiD
  • 78D. Malikov PavlovichM
Coach: Sergey Bulatov
Baltika 5-4-1
  • 1E. LatyshonokG
  • 22M. BeveevD
  • 2S. VaratynovD
  • 21E. AndersonD
  • 4N. GassamaD
  • 77E. CivicD
  • 73M. PetrovM
  • 8A. MendelM
  • 5A. MouridM
  • 11N. TitkovM
  • 9C. OfforF
Substitutes
  • 81I. KukushkinG
  • 44E. LyubakovG
  • 18F. MoufiD
  • 14S. KovacM
  • 7K. ShiltsovM
  • 24L. MouyokoloD
  • 42V. PospelovM
  • 40D. NikitinF
  • 10I. PetrovM
Coach: Andrey Talalaev

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Krylia Sovetov92521314-111
8Baltika93241412+211

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika

  • 8 August 2026Krylia Sovetov 0–2 BaltikaPremier League
  • 22 February 2026Krylia Sovetov 0–1 BaltikaFriendlies Clubs
  • 7 December 2025Baltika 2–0 Krylia SovetovPremier League
  • 9 August 2025Krylia Sovetov 1–1 BaltikaPremier League
  • 20 April 2024Baltika 2–1 Krylya SovetovPremier League
  • 19 September 2023Baltika 1–2 Krylya SovetovCup

Leading scorers: Krylia Sovetov and Baltika

Krylia Sovetov

  • I. Oleynikov3 goals2 assists
  • A. Rahmanović3 goals

Baltika

  • B. Gil4 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.