8 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov Premier League prediction & result

VEB Arena, Moscow
Full time0 – 0

Final score: CSKA Moscow 0-0 FC Rostov.

Before kick-off the model made it 60% CSKA Moscow, 20% draw, 20% FC Rostov — fair odds of 1.67, 5.00 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts CSKA Moscow at 60% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

CSKA Moscow7%Draw90%FC Rostov3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
Oumar Sako
46'
🔁M. Mukhinout: O. Olusegun
🔁L. Gondouout: T. Musaev
59'
🔁K. Glebovout: M. Popovic
59'
🔁I. Oblyakovout: Matheus Alves
65'
🔁D. Barinovout: D. Kozlov
65'
🔁D. Krugovoyout: I. Firov
67'
77'
Aleksey Mironov
77'
🔁I. Komarovout: Y. Mikhailov
77'
🔁K. Kuchaevout: D. Shantaliy
89'
🔁A. Mironovout: D. Prokhin
Matheus Reis
90'

Match stats — CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov

56%Possession44%
13Shots13
3On target4
1Corners3

Line-ups

CSKA Moscow 4-1-4-1
  • 49V. ToropG
  • 22M. GajicD
  • 4Joao VictorD
  • 79K. DanilovD
  • 2Matheus ReisD
  • 31M. KislyakM
  • 3D. KrugovoyM
  • 10I. OblyakovM
  • 6D. BarinovM
  • 17K. GlebovM
  • 32L. GondouF
Substitutes
  • 39M. BoriskoG
  • 85E. BesaevG
  • 23D. AbdulkadyrovD
  • 27MoisesD
  • 90M. LukinD
  • 7Matheus AlvesM
  • 18D. KozlovM
  • 37Henrique CarmoM
  • 52A. BandikyanM
Coach: Dmitriy Igdisamov
FC Rostov 4-3-3
  • 1R. YatimovG
  • 4V. MelekhinD
  • 3O. SakoD
  • 40Ygor NogueiraD
  • 87A. LangovichD
  • 7RonaldoM
  • 8A. MironovM
  • 18K. KuchaevM
  • 10I. KomarovF
  • 99T. SuleymanovF
  • 16M. MukhinF
Substitutes
  • 34D. A. GolikovG
  • 84A. PetrovG
  • 22D. SemenchukD
  • 27D. ProkhinD
  • 80K. MadrakhimovF
  • 5Y. MikhailovM
  • 21D. ShantaliyM
  • 57I. ZhbanovM
  • 73I. AznaurovF
Coach: Jonatan Alba

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5CSKA Moscow8440128+416
12FC Rostov92251017-78

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov

  • 8 August 2026CSKA Moscow 0–0 FC RostovPremier League
  • 21 April 2026CSKA Moscow 1–1 FC RostovPremier League
  • 18 February 2026CSKA Moscow 3–1 FC RostovFriendlies Clubs
  • 14 September 2025FC Rostov 1–0 CSKA MoscowPremier League
  • 1 June 2025FC Rostov 0–0 CSKA MoscowCup
  • 31 January 2025CSKA Moscow 1–0 FC RostovFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: CSKA Moscow and FC Rostov

CSKA Moscow

  • I. Oblyakov4 goals

FC Rostov

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.