24 October 2026, 16:30 UTC

Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad 1. Division prediction & result

Vejle Stadion, Vejle
Referee: S. Aagerup
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Vejle 0-0 Aarhus Fremad.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Vejle, 27% draw, 23% Aarhus Fremad — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Vejle at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vejle5%Draw92%Aarhus Fremad3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁T. Bachout: G. Marcussen
61'
62'
🔁Y. Abdullahiout: L. Ronnberg
🔁T. Gundelundout: M. Jensen
72'
🔁W. Faghirout: B. Edjeodji
72'
72'
🔁M. Kaastrupout: K. Lunding
73'
🔁M. Rybergout: E. Egerton
L. Nielsen
76'
83'
🔁S. Andreasenout: J. Beluli
🔁L. Hetemiout: M. Vestergaard
83'
83'
🔁C. Nygaardout: S. Baekgard
🔁L. Fromout: A. Camara
83'

Line-ups

Vejle
Coach: Claus Norgaard
Aarhus Fremad
Coach: Mathias Damgaard

Form going into Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad

Vejle

1. Division

  • W1-0away to Aalborg17 October 2026
  • L1-2Hvidovre9 October 2026

Aarhus Fremad

1. Division

  • D0-0Esbjerg16 October 2026
  • L0-2away to AB Copenhagen9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Denmark 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Vejle147612616+1027
5Aarhus Fremad144641214-218

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad

  • 30 August 2026Aarhus Fremad 0–0 Vejle1. Division
  • 4 February 2026Vejle 0–3 Aarhus FremadFriendlies Clubs
  • 12 February 2023Vejle 1–2 Aarhus FremadFriendlies Clubs
  • 17 July 2022Vejle 0–0 Aarhus FremadFriendlies Clubs
  • 17 August 2020Vejle 3–2 Aarhus FremadFriendlies Clubs

The result against the call

Vejle and Aarhus Fremad drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Vejle at 50% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Vejle a 27.8% chance to finish top of the regular season: 33.0% after a win, 22.6% after a draw, 19.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 22.6%, 5.2 points lower than before the match.

For Aarhus Fremad the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 59.9% going in: 75.6% after a win, 62.4% after a draw, 53.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 62.4%, 2.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.