Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zemplín Michalovce 1-4 Podbrezová.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Zemplín Michalovce, 29% draw, 30% Podbrezová — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Zemplín Michalovce at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 16A. Jakubech
- 20L. Lemishko
- 25L. Pauschek
- 26T. Dzotsenidze
- 12F. Bahi
- 80B. Cottrell
- 8T. Pilling
- 22P. Danek
- 70R. Korba
- 7K. Brosnan
- 99E. Mashike
- 1P. Lukac
- 77Park Tae-rang
- 4A. Zubairu
- 13N. Mihhailov
- 9T. Walczak
- 18V. Theofanopoulos
- 11J. Lopez
- 14K. Taylor-Hart
- 47N. Cervantes
- 70L. Domanisky
- 5R. Lampreht
- 37J. Luka
- 25R. Kejval
- 14M. Khyminets
- 26S. Stefanik
- 6S. Tijani
- 77P. Kovacik
- 7L. Silagadze
- 9M. Chrien
- 11B. Mrvaljevic
- 41I. Rehak
- 19S. Saidy
- 15R. Paraj
- 66M. Rusnak
- 13V. Chyla
- 8O. Deml
- 27K. Miljanic
- 17A. Amoafo
Form going into Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová
Zemplín Michalovce
Super Liga
- D1-1FK Košice18 October 2026
- L0-3Dunajska Streda10 October 2026
Podbrezová
Super Liga
- L0-1away to Dukla Banská Bystrica18 October 2026
- L1-3Spartak Trnava11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Zemplín Michalovce | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 14 |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová
- 25 July 2026Podbrezová 2–0 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 25 April 2026Zemplín Michalovce 1–2 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 14 March 2026Podbrezová 0–1 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 6 December 2025Zemplín Michalovce 0–4 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 30 August 2025Podbrezová 2–2 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 8 February 2025Zemplín Michalovce 2–2 PodbrezováSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Zemplín Michalovce and Podbrezová
Zemplín Michalovce
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Podbrezová
GoalsAssists
- B. Mrvaljević40
- M. Chrien40
- R. Šiler30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Podbrezová won 4–1 at Zemplín Michalovce. The model had leaned towards a win for Zemplín Michalovce at 41% and given a win for Podbrezová 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: M. Chrien 8' for Podbrezová, B. Mrvaljevic 69' for Podbrezová, B. Mrvaljevic 76' for Podbrezová, J. Lopez 82' for Zemplín Michalovce, B. Mrvaljevic 87' for Podbrezová. Sent off: B. Cottrell (Zemplín Michalovce) 90+1'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Zemplín Michalovce a 37.9% chance to finish in the top six: 50.1% after a win, 33.6% after a draw, 23.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.2%, 14.7 points lower than before the match.
For Podbrezová the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 55.5% going in: 70.4% after a win, 56.8% after a draw, 45.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 70.4%, 14.9 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.