8 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
Full time0 – 0

Final score: VfL Wolfsburg 0-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

Before kick-off the model made it 62% VfL Wolfsburg, 23% draw, 15% 1. FC Kaiserslautern — fair odds of 1.61, 4.35 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts VfL Wolfsburg at 62% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

VfL Wolfsburg6%Draw92%1. FC Kaiserslautern2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

35'
Semih Şahin
66'
🔁M. Ritterout: I. Kanate
🔁F. Hornbyout: A. Besio
68'
🔁R. Glatzelout: K. Shiogai
68'
78'
🔁F. Kunzeout: L. Robinson
78'
🔁M. Berishaout: E. Yardimci
🔁Vini Souzaout: M. Arnold
81'
🔁E. Rexhbecajout: Y. Gerhardt
81'
🔁M. Damarout: M. Svanberg
89'
90+1'
🔁S. Astaout: E. Wekesser

Match stats — VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

63%Possession37%
19Shots8
5On target3
9Corners2
1.26xG0.86

Goals against chances

VfL Wolfsburg0 from 1.26 xGless than the chances were worth
1. FC Kaiserslautern0 from 0.86 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

VfL Wolfsburg 4-1-4-1
  • 30J. ZielinskiG
  • 2K. FischerD
  • 6H. WahlD
  • 22M. AngelyD
  • 26S. KumbediD
  • 5Vini SouzaM
  • 10F. HornbyM
  • 37E. RexhbecajM
  • 20M. DamarM
  • 11F. ReeseM
  • 19R. GlatzelF
Substitutes
  • 12P. PervanG
  • 27M. ArnoldM
  • 31Y. GerhardtM
  • 32M. SvanbergM
  • 18J. AdjeteyD
  • 17D. PejcinovicF
  • 23A. BesioF
  • 33CleitonD
  • 7K. ShiogaiF
Coach: Dieter Hecking
1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-4-2-1
  • 1J. KrahlG
  • 33J. ElvediD
  • 4M. GyamfiD
  • 14J. RasmussenD
  • 2S. AstaM
  • 6F. KunzeM
  • 8S. SahinM
  • 22M. HaasM
  • 15N. SkyttaF
  • 7M. RitterF
  • 20M. BerishaF
Substitutes
  • 34Y. OnohiolG
  • 13E. WekesserD
  • 37L. RobinsonM
  • 44D. HofmeisterM
  • 17E. YardimciF
  • 5K. FreesD
  • 39T. Fidjeu-TazemetaM
  • 11I. KanateF
  • 41D. SchrammM
Coach: Torsten Lieberknecht

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5VfL Wolfsburg5221107+38
61. FC Kaiserslautern522154+18

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

  • 8 August 2026VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
  • 3 March 2012FC Kaiserslautern 0–0 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
  • 24 September 2011VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 FC KaiserslauternBundesliga
  • 7 May 2011VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 FC KaiserslauternBundesliga
  • 11 December 2010FC Kaiserslautern 0–0 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga

Leading scorers: VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Kaiserslautern

VfL Wolfsburg

  • F. Reese3 goals1 assists

1. FC Kaiserslautern

No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.