29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Volos NFC vs Iraklis 1908 Super League 1 prediction & result

Panthessaliko Stadium, Volos
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Volos NFC 1-1 Iraklis 1908.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Volos NFC, 27% draw, 33% Iraklis 1908 — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Volos NFC at 40% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Volos NFC5%Draw92%Iraklis 19083%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Fabio Refatllari
-5'
Jan Hurtado
23'
27'
⚽Nanu
🔁G. Mygasout: M. Gonzalez
46'
🔁Gustavo Furtadoout: Xesc
46'
Vasilis Grosdis
49'
51'
Kylian Kaiboue
53'
•Vitor Meer
54'
Vitor Meer
63'
Rob Nizet
🔁A. Tsokanisout: G. Charalaboglou
63'
Keidi Bare
65'
🔁K. Bareout: M. Comba
69'
71'
Elvir Koljić
72'
🔁K. Kaiboueout: M. Krainz
72'
🔁R. Nizetout: C. Rodriguez
72'
🔁E. Koljicout: K. Kushta
78'
🔁C. Soriaout: D. Munoz
82'
🔁V. Sourlisout: S. Chakla
⚽M. Gonzalez
84'

Match stats — Volos NFC vs Iraklis 1908

63%Possession37%
17Shots10
3On target1
2Corners2
1.19xG0.48

Goals against chances

Volos NFC1 from 1.19 xGabout what the chances were worth
Iraklis 19081 from 0.48 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Volos NFC 3-4-2-1
  • 1M. SiabanisG
  • 15H. Es SaouabiD
  • 4G. KargasD
  • 6A. TsokanisD
  • 22G. MygasM
  • 88K. BareM
  • 17V. GrosdisM
  • 7L. LabrouM
  • 11Gustavo FurtadoF
  • 10JocaF
  • 9Jan HurtadoF
Substitutes
  • 55A. Koselev
  • 99D. AgyakwaD
  • 24K. Lykourinos
  • 21M. GonzalezM
  • 89F. RefatllariM
  • 20Xesc
  • 8M. CombaF
  • 49G. CharalaboglouF
  • 30A. GaravelasF
Coach: Konstantinos Bratsos
Iraklis 1908 5-4-1
  • 33G. AthanasiadisG
  • 30C. SoriaD
  • 2P. VourosD
  • 21PinaD
  • 69Y. RocheD
  • 31NanuD
  • 18R. NizetM
  • 22K. KaiboueM
  • 90V. SourlisM
  • 3Vitor MeerM
  • 7E. KoljicF
Substitutes
  • 16P. TsintotasG
  • 1G. KarakasidisG
  • 4S. ChaklaD
  • 23D. MunozD
  • 27M. KrainzM
  • 8N. RadojaM
  • 11I. LopezM
  • 6C. RodriguezM
  • 17N. AnastasiadisM
Coach: Walter Mazzarri

Form going into Volos NFC vs Iraklis 1908

Volos NFC

  • L0-2away to OFI23 August 2026

Iraklis 1908

  • L0-4away to AEK Athens FC22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Volos NFC402237-42
8Iraklis 1908412146-25

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Volos NFC vs Iraklis 1908

  • 29 August 2026Volos NFC 1–1 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
  • 17 August 2026Iraklis 1908 1–3 Volos NFCCup

Leading scorers: Volos NFC and Iraklis 1908

Volos NFC

  • M. González2 goals

Iraklis 1908

No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.