Panetolikos vs Kalamata Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Panetolikos 2-0 Kalamata.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% Panetolikos, 21% draw, 23% Kalamata — fair odds of 1.79, 4.76 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Panetolikos at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Panetolikos vs Kalamata
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99Y. KucherenkoG
- 35C. MavriasD
- 2G. GranathD
- 49N. StajicD
- 15C. ManriqueD
- 18G. SatsiasM
- 28L. Kojic
- 22Esteban Diego
- 10A. BassiM
- 12M. DjenepoM
- 9M. MejiaF
- 23V. XenopoulosG
- 1M. Pardalos
- 4E. OlssonD
- 65A. Apostolopoulos
- 5A. ProdromitisD
- 6M. NakambaM
- 44N. ErakovicM
- 77E. NikolaouM
- 19A. BregouM
- 1I. GeliosG
- 22P. KaloutsikidisD
- 4S. StroungisD
- 97RodriguesD
- 17J. AlonsoD
- 6D. DiarraM
- 7J. CataldiM
- 32J. BonettoM
- 24E. HamzaM
- 10A. SigurdssonM
- 20A. Mendes MoreiraF
- 40N. VasiljevicG
- 26P. Ginis
- 12I. ChatzitheodoridisD
- 18P. PanagiotouD
- 19J. BakayokoD
- 44A. GuessandD
- 29U. IgnjatovicD
- 23G. PineiroM
- 5A. MartinM
Form going into Panetolikos vs Kalamata
Panetolikos
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Asteras Tripolis23 August 2026
Kalamata
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Aris Thessalonikis22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Panetolikos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Panetolikos vs Kalamata
- 19 August 2026Kalamata 4–2 PanetolikosCup
- 19 October 2022Kalamata 2–2 PanetolikosCup
Leading scorers: Panetolikos and Kalamata
Panetolikos
No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Kalamata
GoalsAssists
- D. Kurminowski50
- J. Bolívar30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Panetolikos beat Kalamata 2–0. The model had made a win for Panetolikos its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: G. Granath 26' for Panetolikos, S. Soumah 90' for Panetolikos. On expected goals it finished 2.46–1.02.