Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Widzew Łódź 2-3 Lech Poznan.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Widzew Łódź, 29% draw, 34% Lech Poznan — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Widzew Łódź at 37% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan
Widzew Łódź
- D3-3away to Slask Wroclaw22 August 2026
- L1-2Korona Kielce15 August 2026
Lech Poznan
- W3-0Piast Gliwice9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Widzew Łódź | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan
- 7 March 2026Widzew Łódź 2–1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
- 31 August 2025Lech Poznan 2–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 31 January 2025Lech Poznan 4–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 27 July 2024Widzew Łódź 2–1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
- 19 May 2024Widzew Łódź 1–1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
- 26 November 2023Lech Poznan 1–3 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Widzew Łódź and Lech Poznan
Widzew Łódź
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Lech Poznan
- A. Sayyadmanesh4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.