Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Gornik Zabrze 2-3 GKS Katowice.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Gornik Zabrze, 28% draw, 27% GKS Katowice — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gornik Zabrze at 45% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
- L1-4away to Monaco27 August 2026
- L2-3Monaco20 August 2026
- W2-1Wisla Krakow16 August 2026
- D1-1Ferencvarosi TC13 August 2026
- W3-1away to Radomiak Radom8 August 2026
GKS Katowice
- W5-0Wisla Plock23 August 2026
- L0-1away to Motor Lublin16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice
- 28 February 2026GKS Katowice 3–1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- 23 August 2025Gornik Zabrze 3–0 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
- 30 March 2025GKS Katowice 2–1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
- 21 September 2024Gornik Zabrze 3–0 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
- 27 September 2023GKS Katowice 0–4 Gornik ZabrzeCup
- 20 October 2022GKS Katowice 1–2 Gornik ZabrzeCup
Leading scorers: Gornik Zabrze and GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
- Peter4 goals
GKS Katowice
- I. Shkurin5 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.