Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Widzew Łódź 0-0 Radomiak Radom.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Widzew Łódź, 28% draw, 30% Radomiak Radom — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Widzew Łódź at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1B. DragowskiG
- 91M. KrajewskiD
- 25P. WisniewskiD
- 3S. KapuadiD
- 40M. GarciaD
- 5G. PapanikolaouM
- 79S. BiukM
- 10F. AlvarezM
- 80Dani SilvaM
- 7M. FornalczykM
- 28K. SwiderskiF
- 30V. IlicG
- 4M. ZyroD
- 14R. VisusD
- 98Paulinho BoiaF
- 18L. SelahiM
- 19D. MalesM
- 8E. KornvigM
- 20A. KlukowskiM
- 99S. BergierF
- 1F. MajchrowiczG
- 24Zie OuattaraD
- 3K. SzczesniakD
- 72F. KoperskiD
- 13J. GrzesikD
- 77C. DonisM
- 90R. Lumungo
- 27R. WolskiM
- 82LuquinhasM
- 97ConradoM
- 80Guilherme LuizF
- 99B. GradeckiG
- 14S. KingueD
- 33O. MarkiewiczD
- 28R. BaroM
- 8I. CamaraM
- 23K. KarasekM
- 11F. GoureF
- 7C. NunnelyF
- 15A. TapsobaF
Form going into Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Lech Poznan30 August 2026
- D3-3away to Slask Wroclaw22 August 2026
- L1-2Korona Kielce15 August 2026
- W2-0away to Jagiellonia9 August 2026
- D0-0away to Wisla Plock31 July 2026
Radomiak Radom
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Cracovia Krakow29 August 2026
- D0-0Zaglebie Lubin23 August 2026
- L0-5away to Legia Warszawa14 August 2026
- L1-3Gornik Zabrze8 August 2026
- L1-3away to GKS Katowice2 August 2026
What these results say
- Widzew Łódź failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Widzew Łódź scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Radomiak Radom failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Radomiak Radom conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Radomiak Radom had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Widzew Łódź vs Radomiak Radom
- 18 April 2026Radomiak Radom 2–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 17 October 2025Widzew Łódź 3–2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 28 February 2025Radomiak Radom 1–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 23 August 2024Widzew Łódź 3–2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 25 May 2024Radomiak Radom 1–3 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Widzew Łódź and Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
GoalsAssists
- K. Świderski51
Radomiak Radom
GoalsAssists
- J. Grzesik53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Widzew Łódź and Radomiak Radom drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Widzew Łódź at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.59–1.69.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.