2 September 2026, 18:30 UTC

Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna Bundesliga prediction & result

Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
Full time5 – 1

Final score: Red Bull Salzburg 5-1 Rapid Vienna.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Red Bull Salzburg, 28% draw, 34% Rapid Vienna — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Red Bull Salzburg at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Red Bull Salzburg99%Draw1%Rapid Vienna0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽H. Tabakovicassist: S. Kitano
4'
⚽N. Veratschnig
15'
⚽H. Tabakovicassist: B. Mazurek
21'
46'
🔁J. Hornout: E. Roka
46'
🔁E. Karaout: P. Dahl
⚽E. Baidooassist: B. Mazurek
46'
51'
⚽M. Seidlassist: N. Bajlicz
🔁H. Tabakovicout: K. Konate
59'
🔁Y. Vertessenout: A. Camara
59'
🔁S. Kitanoout: U. Tohumcu
68'
69'
Nenad Cvetković
74'
🔁T. Adamsenout: N. Wurmbrand
74'
🔁M. Haidaraout: M. Tilio
🔁E. Baidooout: E. Aguilar
83'
85'
🔁N. Bajliczout: L. Schaub
⚽K. Konate
90'

Match stats — Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna

57%Possession43%
16Shots17
9On target4
2Corners7

Line-ups

Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1
  • 52C. ZawieschitzkyG
  • 18N. VeratschnigD
  • 44K. BomaD
  • 47V. ZabranskyD
  • 31D. SchmidD
  • 32A. BarryM
  • 15B. MazurekM
  • 20E. BaidooM
  • 8S. KitanoM
  • 11Y. VertessenM
  • 9H. TabakovicF
Substitutes
  • 1C. FruchtlG
  • 21T. DrexlerD
  • 39L. MorgallaD
  • 13F. KratzigD
  • 4J. MellbergD
  • 7U. TohumcuM
  • 19K. KonateF
  • 43E. AguilarF
  • 33A. Camara
Coach: Danny Rohl
Rapid Vienna 4-3-3
  • 1N. HedlG
  • 77B. BollaD
  • 55N. CvetkovicD
  • 6S. Raux-YaoD
  • 38J. HornD
  • 22Y. DemirM
  • 18M. SeidlM
  • 30N. BajliczM
  • 43M. HaidaraF
  • 9E. KaraF
  • 8T. AdamsenF
Substitutes
  • 25P. GartlerG
  • 61F. DemirD
  • 2E. RokaD
  • 47A. GrollerD
  • 21L. SchaubM
  • 15N. WurmbrandF
  • 10P. DahlF
  • 71C. M'BuyiF
  • 7M. TilioF
Coach: Johannes Thorup

Form going into Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1Austria Vienna30 August 2026
  • W3-0Mjallby AIF27 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Mjallby AIF20 August 2026
  • W3-0away to WSG Wattens16 August 2026
  • D3-3away to Pafos13 August 2026

Rapid Vienna

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1Sturm Graz30 August 2026
  • D1-1Heart of Midlothian26 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Heart of Midlothian20 August 2026
  • W8-0Grazer AK16 August 2026
  • W2-0Paide12 August 2026

What these results say

  • Red Bull Salzburg went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Red Bull Salzburg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Red Bull Salzburg won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Rapid Vienna went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Rapid Vienna scored in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Austria Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Red Bull Salzburg12930339+2430
1Rapid Vienna121101399+3033

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna

  • 26 April 2026Rapid Vienna 1–0 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
  • 15 March 2026Red Bull Salzburg 0–1 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
  • 8 March 2026Rapid Vienna 1–0 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
  • 5 October 2025Red Bull Salzburg 2–1 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
  • 24 May 2025Red Bull Salzburg 4–2 Rapid ViennaBundesliga

Leading scorers: Red Bull Salzburg and Rapid Vienna

Red Bull Salzburg

GoalsAssists

  • H. Tabaković80
  • K. Konaté40
  • Y. Vertessen33

Rapid Vienna

GoalsAssists

  • E. Kara71
  • P. Dahl71
  • T. Adamsen55

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Red Bull Salzburg beat Rapid Vienna 5–1. The model had made a win for Red Bull Salzburg its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: H. Tabakovic 4' for Red Bull Salzburg, N. Veratschnig 15' for Red Bull Salzburg, H. Tabakovic 21' for Red Bull Salzburg, E. Baidoo 46' for Red Bull Salzburg, M. Seidl 51' for Rapid Vienna, K. Konate 90' for Red Bull Salzburg.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.