31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Premijer Liga prediction & result

Stadion Grbavica, Sarajevo
Referee: Luka Bilbija, Bosnia & Herzegovina
Full time0 – 4

Final score: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0-4 Zrinjski.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, 26% draw, 51% Zrinjski — fair odds of 4.35, 3.85 and 1.96.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Zrinjski at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo0%Draw1%Zrinjski99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

28'
D. Lagumdzija
M. Karamarko
30'
34'
⚽A. Ivancic
36'
⚽A. Ilic
40'
⚽N. Bilbija
🔁A. Ibrisimovicout: Y. Dabo
46'
46'
🔁D. Lagumdzijaout: M. Cavar
🔁A. Kororaout: M. Sosic
46'
🔁Y. Daboout: G. Cunha
54'
55'
P. Mamic
A. Gojak
61'
66'
🔁K. Abramovicout: S. Cvetkovic
66'
🔁M. Cuzeout: V. Grbic
66'
🔁M. Vranjkovicout: I. Vidovic
🔁A. Gojakout: M. Cvetanoski
74'
77'
⚽P. Mamic
81'
🔁P. Mamicout: S. Jakovljevic
🔁A. Rascicout: S. Jovanovic
82'
S. Jovanovic
82'

Line-ups

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 4-4-2
  • 1Tarik AbdulahovićG
  • 30Marko KaramarkoD
  • 5Amar IbrišimovićD
  • 4Marin KaramarkoD
  • 15Bojan NastićD
  • 24Ajdin RaščićD
  • 88Samir RadovacM
  • 23Eldar DragovićM
  • 22Admir GojakM
  • 29Muharem HuskovićF
  • 9Aldian KororaF
Substitutes
  • 16Madžid ŠošićM
  • 19Yacouba Dabo GnakoF
  • 49Gabriel Cunha GeraldoF
  • 14Matej CvetanoskiM
  • 32Sandro JovanovićM
  • 99Ángel JiménezG
  • 33Collin SeedorfD
  • 8Afan FočoM
  • 27Deni MiloševićM
Zrinjski 4-2-3-1
  • 18Goran KaračićG
  • 19Marko VranjkovićD
  • 15Karlo StapićD
  • 6Igor SavićM
  • 12Petar MamićD
  • 20Antonio IvančićM
  • 5Dan LagumdzijaM
  • 77Karlo AbramovićM
  • 17Antonio IlićM
  • 25Mario ĆužeM
  • 99Nemanja BilbijaF
Substitutes
  • 42Marijan ĆavarM
  • 21Viktor GrbićD
  • 26Stefan CvetkovićM
  • 8Ivica VidovićM
  • 27Slobodan JakovljevićD
  • 31Zvonimir ŠubarićG
  • 37Darick Kobie MorrisD
  • 4Hrvoje BarišićD
  • 10Mario ČuićM

Form going into Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Zrinjski

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

Premijer Liga

  • L0-2away to FK Sarajevo24 October 2026
  • D1-1away to BSK Banja Luka17 October 2026
  • L1-3away to Radnik Bijeljina11 October 2026

Zrinjski

Premijer Liga

  • W1-0Radnik Bijeljina23 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Čelik18 October 2026
  • W6-2away to Sloga Doboj11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premijer Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Zeljeznicar Sarajevo133461321-813
1Zrinjski131111317+2434

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Zrinjski

  • 23 August 2026Zrinjski 2–0 Zeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga
  • 1 May 2026Zrinjski 2–0 Zeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga
  • 2 March 2026Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1–3 ZrinjskiPremijer Liga
  • 9 November 2025Zrinjski 2–1 Zeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga
  • 24 August 2025Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2–0 ZrinjskiPremijer Liga
  • 19 April 2025Zrinjski 5–0 Zeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga

Leading scorers: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Zrinjski

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

GoalsAssists

  • M. Husković20
  • Rodrigo Piloto20
  • A. Pejić12

Zrinjski

GoalsAssists

  • A. Ilic31
  • N. Bilbija31
  • M. Ćuže20

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Zrinjski won 4–0 at Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. The model had made a win for Zrinjski its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Ivancic 34' for Zrinjski, A. Ilic 36' for Zrinjski, N. Bilbija 40' for Zrinjski, P. Mamic 77' for Zrinjski.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Zeljeznicar Sarajevo a 38.7% chance to finish in the top four: 47.0% after a win, 38.2% after a draw, 35.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 35.3%, 3.4 points lower than before the match.

For Zrinjski the question was the chance to win the league, 60.3% going in: 64.3% after a win, 56.9% after a draw, 53.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 64.3%, 4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premijer Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Zeljeznicar Sarajevo v Zrinjski has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 25% / 26% / 49% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 23% / 26% / 51%: the biggest move is Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win23%▼ −2
  2. Draw26%=
  3. Zrinjski win51%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.