1 November 2026, 14:00 UTC

Sloga Doboj vs Velež Premijer Liga prediction & result

Stadion Luke
Referee: Antoni Bandić, Bosnia & Herzegovina
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Sloga Doboj 0-1 Velež.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Sloga Doboj, 31% draw, 35% Velež — fair odds of 2.94, 3.23 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Velež at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sloga Doboj0%Draw3%Velež97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Dani Molina
9'
A. Redzic
46'
48'
⚽A. Aganspahic
🔁F. Ferreiroaout: Chuca
59'
🔁Dani Molinaout: O. M. Kehinde
60'
63'
🔁D. Salcinout: A. Mesic
🔁J. Cuetoout: N. Bozickovic
69'
🔁D. Savicout: M. Veselinovic
69'
69'
🔁A. Nukicout: S. Duranovic
69'
🔁A. Aganspahicout: M. Rahimic
71'
N. Vukasovic
🔁B. Garayout: J. Bolivar
79'
J. Celikovic
83'
88'
🔁N. Stojanovicout: B. Tatar

Line-ups

Sloga Doboj 4-2-3-1
  • 1Pere GarcíaG
  • 24Benjamín GarayD
  • 2Jasmin ČelikovićD
  • 3Roberto CorralD
  • 11FerniM
  • 13Darko SavićM
  • 14Ajdin RedžićM
  • 92Toni JovićM
  • 27Dani MolinaM
  • 8Fernan Ferreiroa LopezM
  • 9Javi CuetoF
Substitutes
  • 22ChucaM
  • 20Lanre KehindeF
  • 4Niko BozickovicD
  • 10Mladen VeselinovićM
  • 7Jorge Bolivar CanoM
  • 25Bojan PavlovićG
  • 5Pablo JaquezD
  • 28Milan MilanovićD
  • 29Nikola PejovićD
Velež 4-2-3-1
  • 1Faris RibićG
  • 5Abdallah Ali MohamedD
  • 8Ante HrkaćD
  • 13Anes OmerovićD
  • 87Nino VukasovićD
  • 83Mahir BešićF
  • 6Rafidine AbdullahM
  • 7Ajdin NukićM
  • 10Đani SalčinM
  • 80Nino StojanovićM
  • 28Almir AganspahićF
Substitutes
  • 11Aldin MešićM
  • 18Said DuranovićD
  • 19Mahir RahimicF
  • 32Benjamin TatarM
  • 22Elmin MataradžićG
  • 14Benjamin RedzicM
  • 55Kenan KarićM
  • 45Kenan ÐulimanM
  • 47Vedad AbidovićM

Form going into Sloga Doboj vs Velež

Sloga Doboj

Premijer Liga

  • L0-2away to Borac Banja Luka25 October 2026
  • L0-1Siroki Brijeg16 October 2026
  • L2-6Zrinjski11 October 2026

Velež

Premijer Liga

  • L2-3BSK Banja Luka25 October 2026
  • D0-0Siroki Brijeg9 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Zrinjski19 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premijer Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Sloga Doboj13238821-139
7Velež123361018-812

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sloga Doboj vs Velež

  • 22 August 2026Velež 2–0 Sloga DobojPremijer Liga
  • 15 April 2026Sloga Doboj 0–3 VeležCup
  • 11 April 2026Velež 0–0 Sloga DobojPremijer Liga
  • 8 April 2026Velež 3–1 Sloga DobojCup
  • 13 December 2025Sloga Doboj 1–2 VeležPremijer Liga
  • 4 October 2025Velež 2–0 Sloga DobojPremijer Liga

Leading scorers: Sloga Doboj and Velež

Sloga Doboj

No player in Premijer Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Velež

GoalsAssists

  • N. Stojanović11

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Velež won 1–0 at Sloga Doboj. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Velež at 35%. The goal: A. Aganspahic 48' for Velež.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sloga Doboj a 66.5% chance to finish in the bottom two: 58.3% after a win, 68.2% after a draw, 74.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 74.2%, 7.7 points higher than before the match.

For Velež the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 33.7% going in: 26.0% after a win, 33.1% after a draw, 41.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 26.0%, 7.7 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Premijer Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.