Radnik Bijeljina vs Siroki Brijeg Premijer Liga prediction & result
Final score: Radnik Bijeljina 2-0 Siroki Brijeg.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Radnik Bijeljina, 27% draw, 31% Siroki Brijeg — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Radnik Bijeljina at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Dušan MarkovićG
- 14Andrija MarkovićD
- 66Miladin StevanovićD
- 5Blondon Meyapya FongainD
- 3Slaviša RadovićD
- 19Huso KarjaševićM
- 32Mateo AndačićD
- 77Mohamed GhorziM
- 11Ognjen KlenpićM
- 70Ateef KonateM
- 29Danilo TeodorovićF
- 16Božidar DimitrićD
- 88Luca MihaiM
- 99Antoine Ijoma
- 27Vedran KjoševskiG
- 2Saša MarkovićD
- 22Mustafa ŠukilovićD
- 26Đorđe ĆosićD
- 7Indy BoonenM
- 8Tino Blaž LaušM
- 51Ivan PuljićG
- 26Marijan OršolićD
- 5Bartul MarkovinaD
- 14Niko VukančićD
- 47Ivan KrstanovicD
- 90Tomislav TomićM
- 17Luka RomacM
- 11David Virgili FernandezM
- 77Robert MarijanovićM
- 19Filip JelčićM
- 10Filip MatićF
- 33Ivan JelićM
- 44Kristian SesarF
- 8Mario Kordić-GružićM
- 18Marko MatićM
- 4Božo PrusinaM
- 43Eugen CibanG
- 3Mateo SoldoD
- 13Lukas MagđinskiD
- 30Ivan KraljevićD
Form going into Radnik Bijeljina vs Siroki Brijeg
Radnik Bijeljina
Premijer Liga
- L0-1away to Zrinjski23 October 2026
- D1-1FK Sarajevo17 October 2026
- W3-1Zeljeznicar Sarajevo11 October 2026
Siroki Brijeg
Premijer Liga
- D0-0Čelik24 October 2026
- W1-0away to Sloga Doboj16 October 2026
- D0-0away to Velež9 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premijer Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Radnik Bijeljina | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 11 |
| 4 | Siroki Brijeg | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radnik Bijeljina vs Siroki Brijeg
- 22 August 2026Siroki Brijeg 2–1 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga
- 25 May 2026Siroki Brijeg 4–0 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga
- 4 April 2026Radnik Bijeljina 2–0 Siroki BrijegPremijer Liga
- 8 December 2025Siroki Brijeg 1–3 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga
- 26 September 2025Radnik Bijeljina 0–0 Siroki BrijegPremijer Liga
- 5 April 2025Radnik Bijeljina 1–1 Siroki BrijegPremijer Liga
Leading scorers: Radnik Bijeljina and Siroki Brijeg
Radnik Bijeljina
GoalsAssists
- D. Teodorović21
- V. Bradonjić20
- M. Ghorzi11
Siroki Brijeg
GoalsAssists
- M. Matić11
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Radnik Bijeljina beat Siroki Brijeg 2–0. The model had made a win for Radnik Bijeljina its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: D. Teodorovic 62' for Radnik Bijeljina, M. Andacic 72' for Radnik Bijeljina.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Radnik Bijeljina a 33.7% chance to finish in the bottom two: 28.3% after a win, 36.6% after a draw, 39.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 28.3%, 5.4 points lower than before the match.
For Siroki Brijeg the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 13.8% going in: 8.5% after a win, 13.0% after a draw, 16.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 16.7%, 2.9 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premijer Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Radnik Bijeljina v Siroki Brijeg has moved
First published on 17 Oct at 41% / 26% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 42% / 27% / 31%: the biggest move is Siroki Brijeg's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Radnik Bijeljina win42%▲ +1
- Draw27%▲ +1
- Siroki Brijeg win31%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.