Zenit vs Lokomotiv Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Zenit 2-1 Lokomotiv.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Zenit, 29% draw, 27% Lokomotiv — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Russian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Zenit at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zenit vs Lokomotiv
Line-ups
- 16D. AdamovG
- 25K. AndradeD
- 78I. DiveevD
- 28N. AlipD
- 66R. VegaD
- 5W. BarriosM
- 93A. KarpukasM
- 11Luiz HenriqueM
- 10M. GlushenkovM
- 14Jhon JhonM
- 7A. SobolevF
- 57B. MoskvichevG
- 33NinoD
- 38Amir MusaevM
- 71D. OdoevskiyG
- 20Pedro HenriqueF
- 82S. VolkovD
- 9Felipe AugustoF
- 3Douglas SantosD
- 61D. KondakovM
- 1A. MitryushkinG
- 24M. NenakhovD
- 85E. MorozovD
- 45A. SiljanovD
- 3Lucas FassonD
- 6S. BabkinM
- 75I. EremeevM
- 7Z. BakaevM
- 18N. TitkovM
- 19A. RudenkoM
- 27N. KomlichenkoF
- 74D. ChevardinD
- 47D. GodyaevM
- 63V. GolubevF
- 8A. KovalenkoM
- 22I. LantratovG
- 77A. MostovoyM
- 9S. PinyaevM
- 59E. PogostnovD
- 11V. RakovF
Form going into Zenit vs Lokomotiv
Zenit
All competitions we cover
- L1-2CSKA Moscow5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Fakel29 August 2026
- L0-2away to Spartak Moscow23 August 2026
- W3-0Dynamo16 August 2026
- L1-2Rodina Moskva9 August 2026
Lokomotiv
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Baltika6 September 2026
- L0-1Dynamo29 August 2026
- L2-3away to CSKA Moscow22 August 2026
- D1-1away to FC Orenburg14 August 2026
- D0-0Akron8 August 2026
What these results say
- Zenit scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lokomotiv failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Lokomotiv had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 15 | +17 | 31 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zenit vs Lokomotiv
- 22 April 2026Lokomotiv 0–0 ZenitPremier League
- 1 November 2025Zenit 2–0 LokomotivPremier League
- 5 April 2025Lokomotiv 1–1 ZenitPremier League
- 27 October 2024Zenit 1–1 LokomotivPremier League
- 3 December 2023Lokomotiv Moscow 3–1 Zenit Saint PetersburgPremier League
Leading scorers: Zenit and Lokomotiv
Zenit
GoalsAssists
- M. Glushenkov105
- A. Sobolev102
Lokomotiv
GoalsAssists
- N. Titkov31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Zenit beat Lokomotiv 2–1. The model had made a win for Zenit its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Aleksandr Rudenko 18' for Lokomotiv, Kevin Andrade 47' for Zenit, Luiz Henrique 70' for Zenit.
How the call on Zenit v Lokomotiv has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 53% / 27% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 44% / 29% / 27%: the biggest move is Zenit's chance of winning, down 9 points.
- Zenit win44%▼ −9
- Draw29%▲ +2
- Lokomotiv win27%▲ +7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.