12 September 2026, 16:30 UTC

Tottenham vs Everton Premier League prediction & result

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Tottenham 0-0 Everton.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Tottenham, 30% draw, 29% Everton — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Tottenham at 41% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Tottenham4%Draw93%Everton3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Rodrigo Bentancurout: Lucas Bergvall
63'
🔁Dominic Solankeout: Mathys Tel
63'
🔁Mateus Fernandesout: Mohammed Kudus
63'
65'
🔁Tyrique Georgeout: Jack Grealish
68'
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
75'
🔁Brennan Johnsonout: Hayden Hackney
75'
🔁Ainsley Maitland-Nilesout: Jake O'Brien
🔁Omar Marmoushout: James Maddison
77'
84'
James Garner
🔁Archie Grayout: Tosin Adarabioyo
85'
Roberto De Zerbi
87'

Match stats — Tottenham vs Everton

62%Possession38%
14Shots12
2On target3
5Corners6

Line-ups

Tottenham 4-2-3-1
  • 31A. KinskýG
  • 14A. GrayD
  • 6J. van HeckeD
  • 37M. van de VenD
  • 3A. RobertsonD
  • 30R. BentancurM
  • 16S. TonaliM
  • 17SávioM
  • 18Mateus FernandesM
  • 22Omar MarmoushM
  • 19D. SolankeF
Substitutes
  • 10J. MaddisonM
  • 15L. BergvallM
  • 11M. TelF
  • 20M. KudusM
  • 39M. DúbravkaG
  • 4T. AdarabioyoD
  • 5M. SenesiD
  • 33B. DaviesD
  • 8C. GallagherM
Coach: R. De Zerbi
Everton 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. PickfordG
  • 2A. Maitland-NilesD
  • 6J. TarkowskiD
  • 4J. BranthwaiteD
  • 16V. MykolenkoD
  • 45H. ArmstrongM
  • 37J. GarnerM
  • 22B. JohnsonM
  • 8K. Dewsbury-HallM
  • 19Tyrique GeorgeM
  • 11T. BarryF
Substitutes
  • 31T. KingG
  • 5M. KeaneD
  • 15J. O'BrienD
  • 10J. GrealishM
  • 20T. DiblingF
  • 24C. AlcarazM
  • 30H. HackneyM
  • 12M. TraversG
  • 58B. GrahamF
Coach: D. Moyes

Form going into Tottenham vs Everton

Tottenham

  • D0-0away to Nottingham Forest5 September 2026
  • L0-2Newcastle29 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Brentford22 August 2026

Everton

  • D2-2Manchester United6 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Bournemouth29 August 2026
  • W2-0Crystal Palace22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17Tottenham402205-52
9Everton413053+26

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Tottenham vs Everton

  • 12 September 2026Tottenham 0–0 EvertonPremier League
  • 24 May 2026Tottenham 1–0 EvertonPremier League
  • 26 October 2025Everton 0–3 TottenhamPremier League
  • 19 January 2025Everton 3–2 TottenhamPremier League
  • 24 August 2024Tottenham 4–0 EvertonPremier League
  • 3 February 2024Everton 2–2 TottenhamPremier League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.