Tottenham vs Everton Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Tottenham 0-0 Everton.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Tottenham, 30% draw, 29% Everton — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Tottenham at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tottenham vs Everton
Line-ups
- 31A. KinskýG
- 14A. GrayD
- 6J. van HeckeD
- 37M. van de VenD
- 3A. RobertsonD
- 30R. BentancurM
- 16S. TonaliM
- 17SávioM
- 18Mateus FernandesM
- 22Omar MarmoushM
- 19D. SolankeF
- 10J. MaddisonM
- 15L. BergvallM
- 11M. TelF
- 20M. KudusM
- 39M. DúbravkaG
- 4T. AdarabioyoD
- 5M. SenesiD
- 33B. DaviesD
- 8C. GallagherM
- 1J. PickfordG
- 2A. Maitland-NilesD
- 6J. TarkowskiD
- 4J. BranthwaiteD
- 16V. MykolenkoD
- 45H. ArmstrongM
- 37J. GarnerM
- 22B. JohnsonM
- 8K. Dewsbury-HallM
- 19Tyrique GeorgeM
- 11T. BarryF
- 31T. KingG
- 5M. KeaneD
- 15J. O'BrienD
- 10J. GrealishM
- 20T. DiblingF
- 24C. AlcarazM
- 30H. HackneyM
- 12M. TraversG
- 58B. GrahamF
Form going into Tottenham vs Everton
Tottenham
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Nottingham Forest5 September 2026
- L0-2Newcastle29 August 2026
- L0-3away to Brentford22 August 2026
Everton
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Manchester United6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Bournemouth29 August 2026
- W2-0Crystal Palace22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tottenham vs Everton
- 24 May 2026Tottenham 1–0 EvertonPremier League
- 26 October 2025Everton 0–3 TottenhamPremier League
- 19 January 2025Everton 3–2 TottenhamPremier League
- 24 August 2024Tottenham 4–0 EvertonPremier League
- 3 February 2024Everton 2–2 TottenhamPremier League
Leading scorers: Tottenham and Everton
Tottenham
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Everton
GoalsAssists
- T. Barry61
- K. Dewsbury-Hall31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Tottenham and Everton drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Tottenham at 41% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
How the call on Tottenham v Everton has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 41% / 30% / 29%: the biggest move is Everton's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Tottenham win41%▲ +1
- Draw30%▲ +1
- Everton win29%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.